SPX Elliott Wave Analysis

Daud Bhatti

SPX Short-Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally to 2597.02 ended Intermediate wave (3). Intermediate wave (4) pullback ended at 2557.45 as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from 2597.02, Minor wave W of (4) ended at 2566.33, Minor wave X of (4) ended at 2587.66, and Minor wave Y of (4) ended at 2557.45. Up from there, the rally appears to be unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((i)) ended at 2572.84, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 2563.3, and Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 2590.09. more…

AUD/JPY Bearish Zig Zag Pattern Aiming For 85.35 If 86.25 Holds

Nenad Kerkez

The AUD/JPY could reject from the POC zone 85.90-95 (50.0, W L5, EMA89, D H3) and as long as 85.18-25 holds we might see a drop towards 85.50 and 85.35. Only if we see a 4h or 1h momentum close below 85.35 the pair might target 85.05 and 84.56. Have in mind that the AUD/JPY is a bi slow moving pair so it might take some time to get to its final target. At this point the focus is on the POC zone more…

Crude Oil Is Looking For A Final Push Higher, While Dax For A Final Push Lower

Grega Horvat

Crude oil is current trading choppy, slow and overlapping, probably trapped in a triangle correction. This triangle correction usually appears prior to the final wave within a trend, meaning a final push higher can follow on energy. Well, a confirmation for a completed triangle pattern is a visible five-wave affair within wave 4 and a break above the 57.90 level. However, even though we expect more upside in upcoming trading sessions, be aware that final wave 5 may follow and that upside can be limited. more…

AUDUSD Looking For More Weakness

Grega Horvat

Around early of September of 2017, AUDUSD completed a higher degree complex correction within wave IV. This correction ended with a five-wave drop towards the 0.7650 level, which can in months ahead result as a bigger bearish cycle. Well, this fall gives us an idea of a change in trend from bullish to bearish and can be labeled as red wave 1), that can find potential support near the 0.7562 level and from there breach higher into corrective wave 2). more…

EUR/JPY Consolidation Breakout Possible

Nenad Kerkez

Different Forex crosses are breaking out of their consolidation phase, making breakouts off the important levels as we could see yesterday in the example of the GBP/NZD. Today we have a consolidation with a possible breakout on EUR/JPY. The POC zone 132.12-132.30 (D H3, EMA89, 38.2,are pivot) could reject the price towards 131.90. Break below 131.90 might target 131.75 and 131.30. The current ATR is 37 pips while the projected ATR is 86 pips so the price still has the room till next support levels.
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USD/CAD Is Waiting For Fundamental Data Release

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed a double top pattern exactly at D H3 pivot. At this point we see a retracement that shows another proof how strong camarilla pivot points are. From a fundamental point of view the market might be waiting for ADP data today as well as CAD Employment change and trade balance. We should see a bit of volatility during the NY/LO Session overlap. From a technical point we see the two POC zones. The first POC 1.2840-55 (order block, EMA89, D L4, 23.6) or the second POC zone 1..2800-15 (inner TL, D L5, 38.2, order block) might reject the price towards 1.2915, 1.2940 and 1.2982 on good ADP / bad CAD data. However if the price drops due to bad USD / good CAD data breakout below 1.2798 should target 1.2774, 1.2740 and 1.2726. Mixed data should keep the price action within the technical outlook. more…

FTSE: Ended Correction

Daud Bhatti

FTSE Elliott Wave view suggests that decline to 7199.5 ended Primary wave ((4)). Up from there, the rally is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure where Minor wave 1 ended at 7327.5 and pullback to 7289.75 ended Minor wave 2. Rally to 7494.34 ended Minor wave 3, and pullback to 7473.12 ended Minor wave 4. Minor wave 5 ended at 7565.11 and this also ended Intermediate wave (A) of a zigzag Elliott Wave structure from 9/15 low (7199.5). more…

AUD/JPY Drops On Worse Than Expected CPI

Nenad Kerkez

The Australian CPI rose 1.8 percent for the year which was lower than 2 percent expectation. The data hurt the AUD and it made a direct drop to W L4 with an extension to 87.78. At this point shorting on rallies is the option. Short term scalps could come around 88.08 while positional short trades could come at the POC zone 88.25-40 (D L4/L5, W L3, Order block, EMA89, trend line,atr pivot, 50.0 Fib). more…

EURJPY Searching For A Top

Grega Horvat

EURJPY is showing a nice bearish price pattern; an ending diagonal up from Oct 16 low that can cause a strong rise of JPY against the EUR. For such scenario we would need a drop on USDJPY and also fall on stocks while 10 year US notes would rise. At the moment we do not see such scenario yet, but it’s good to be prepared. technically speaking a decisive fall below 133.48 and then a retest of that same level can be a good bearish set-up for this week, but only if 134.15 high remains untouched. more…

AUDUSD Support At 0.7815

Daud Bhatti

AUDUSD Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that Primary wave ((W)) ended at 0.7731 on October 6th low. Up from there, Primary wave ((X)) is currently unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Intermediate Wave (W) of ((X)) ended at 0.7807 and Intermediate wave (X) of ((X)) ended at 0.7815. Near term, while pullbacks stay above 0.7815, but more importantly above 10/6 low at 0.7731, expect pair to extend higher. At this stage, pair still needs to break above Intermediate wave (W) at 0.7815 to give more validity to this view. Until then, we can’t rule out a double correction in Intermediate wave ((X)). more…

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