Elliott Wave Analysis: GBPJPY and USDJPY

Grega Horvat

GBPJPY is making a five-wave bearish structure within blue wave c as part of a three-wave consolidation. We see current intra-day structure unfolding an overlapping movement, which can mean a potential ending diagonal within red wave v) of c can be in progress. If that is the case, then once current red wave v) fully unfolds a sharp and strong reversal to the upside can come in play. more…

DXY Elliott Wave View: Resuming Downside

Daud Bhatti

Revised short term DXY (USD Index) Elliott Wave view suggests the decline from 6/20 peak (97.87) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure. Down from 97.87 high, decline to 95.47 ended Minor wave W, and bounce to 96.51 high ended Minor wave X. Wave Y is unfolding as another double three Elliott wave structure of a smaller degree where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 94.47 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 95.17. The Index has broken below 94.47 suggesting Minute wave ((y)) lower has started. Down from 94.47, Minutte wave (w) ended at 94.09, and Minutte wave (x) is in progress to correct cycle from 7/20 peak before Index resumes lower. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear after Minutte wave (x) bounce is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 95.17 stays intact. more…

USD/JPY Descending Trendline Marks The Downtrend

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been dropping, making a descending zig-zag pattern which marks the downtrend. The POC zone 112.40-62 (D H4, Trend line, ATR pivot, EMA89) could reject the price towards 111.70 and if the 111.65 breaks to the downside 111.40 and 111.00 should be next. If we don’t see a retracement towards the POC, pay attention to 111.65 and possible breakout below. However if the price breaks above 112.70 we might see a retest of 113.00-113.15 zone.
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Ending Diagonal On GBPUSD Indicates A Strong Reversal; Bears May Take Over

Grega Horvat

On the 4h chart of GBPUSD we are observing final stages of an ending diagonal where final leg up can be now in progress. We are tracking wave C) after nice turn up from wave B) support levels, found near 1.2800. So far, that’s clearly an impulsive reaction up, a very strong one, so we should be aware of even higher levels at the start of the week. There is a chance that market will rise to second resistance area seen at 1.3200/1.3250. more…

India’s NIFTY Elliott Wave View

Daud Bhatti

Short term NIFTY Elliott Wave view suggests the rally to 9709.3 ended Intermediate wave (1), and the pullback to 9449.06 low ended Intermediate wave (2). Rally from there could be unfolding as an Elliott wave Zigzag structure where Minor wave A is in progress as a Leading diagonal structure. Minute wave ((i)) ended as a double three Elliottwave structure at 9649.80 and Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 9596.30. Up from there Minute wave ((iii)) is unfolding as Elliott wave Triple three structure where Minutte wave (w) ended at 9700.7, Minutte wave (x) ended at 9642.65, Minutte wave (y) ended at 9830.05, second Minutte wave (x) ended at 9778.85 low, and Minutte (z) of ((iii)) is proposed complete at 9892.6. more…

USD/CAD Further Bearish Pressure Is Expected

Nenad Kerkez

Following reports from OPEC that supply shall exceed demand in the oncoming year or so, we have a consolidating Crude Oil price around USD44-45/bbl. BoC have increased their rate overnight following signs of inflation. Given this, the USD/CAD could be further sold on on rallies. My previous analysis showed a drop in the pair and I expect this to continue. At this point the pair is just above W H5, and above D L3. According to my CAMMACD method, we could see another drop below D L3. The drop could happen with or without retracement. If we see a retracement, pay attention to POC 1.2790-1.2810 (50.0, W L4, D H3, ATR pivot) where the price could reject. A move below 1.2675 suggests bearish continuation towards 1.2606 all the way down to 1.2485. more…

Powerful Reversal Pattern On EURJPY Points Lower

Grega Horvat

EURJPY can be trading in final stages of a higher degree impulse, which means a three wave reversal lower can be in view. Current rally can be final wave 5) in the making, that is more and more looking like an ending diagonal pattern. An ending diagonal pattern is a powerful reversal pattern, that can after its completion push prices in the opposite direction. Hopefully, current Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 will act as a resistance and also push prices lower. more…

USDCAD Forecast And BOC Meeting Next Week

Daud Bhatti

Bank of Canada will have a meeting on July 12 to decide the interest rate. USDCAD has declined due to recent comments made by top Bank of Canada officials which seem to suggest that interest rates could be raised soon. The market in fact is pricing in an 82 percent chance of a rate hike next week. In a CNBC interview last week, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said that the two interest rate cuts by Bank of Canada in 2015 have done their jobs in shielding Canadian economy from the steep fall in the price of oil. He also added that the central bank needs to consider its options as excess capacity in the economy is used up. more…

USD/CAD Follows The EMA89 Slope

Nenad Kerkez

If you had signed up for my Live Trading Webinar that is exclusive with Admiral Markets, you could’ve seen how the USD/CAD rejected perfectly from 2 POC zones where both market orders were triggered. The pair is still going down and in the case of any spike to the upside pay attention again to POC 1.2990-1.3005 (D H4, ATR pivot, EMA89) and eventually POC2 1.3035-50 (D H5, W H3, descending trend line, ATR high) where price could reject again. At this point the price is below W H3 and D H3, which signifies a strong downtrend. Continuation below yesterday’s low (1.2912) aims for 1.2895 and 1.2869. Below it is a void zone, where we could see hardly any support all the way down to 1.2780. more…

CHF JPY Bullish Elliott Wave Sequence

Daud Bhatti

In this article we will take a look at Elliott Wave structure of CHF JPY pair since the low at 4.16.2017. Move up from 4.16.2017 (107.67) to 5.25.2017 (115.16) was in 7 swings and completed wave (W). Then we saw the pair pull back from the highs. Below is the 480 minute chart presented to clients on 11th June 2017 where we were looking for pair to end the correction in 112.87 – 111.52 area and resume the rally for new highs. more…

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