All posts by Grega Horvat

EURJPY Searching For A Top

Grega Horvat

EURJPY is showing a nice bearish price pattern; an ending diagonal up from Oct 16 low that can cause a strong rise of JPY against the EUR. For such scenario we would need a drop on USDJPY and also fall on stocks while 10 year US notes would rise. At the moment we do not see such scenario yet, but it’s good to be prepared. technically speaking a decisive fall below 133.48 and then a retest of that same level can be a good bearish set-up for this week, but only if 134.15 high remains untouched. more…

Triangle On EURJPY Points Lower

Grega Horvat

EURJPY is showing us a complex, overlapping and slow correction, which we see it as a Elliott wave triangle pattern. We see current triangle trading in final stages, with leg E searching for resistance. Resistance can be seen near the Fibonacci ratio of 61.8, from where a new drop lower can come in play. Later a new drop towards red wave C) can follow. more…

Silver And USDNOK

Grega Horvat

Silver can be trading in final stages of a bigger bearish impulse. We see current price movement being part of wave five, that can unfold as a potential ending diagonal pattern. If price does unfold an ending diagonal, then a sharp and strong reaction to the upside can follow. Region near 17.23 can then be in view. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis: German DAX, S&P500 And NZDUSD

Grega Horvat

Stocks and XXX/JPY pairs gaped nicely higher during the weekend, and it looks that more gains may follow soon on equity markets. We are looking at both; DAX and E-mini S&P500 which can be headed much higher this week as we see recent downward corrections completed. Dax is in impulse up, ideally within wave 3) headed up to 12500-12550, while S&P500 can be underway to new all-time highs as we called end of a wave b set-back already on Friday. more…

USDJPY And German DAX

Grega Horvat

Good morning traders, and welcome to a new busy month which could be very interesting for the markets, that began with a new North Korea nuclear test that caused a gap lower on stocks.

Normally markets quickly recover after such events, so wondering if this time will be the same. Gaps as you know will normally be filled, so with that in mind, we think that upside on E-mini S&P500 is not done yet and that USDJPY can be in fact in final stages of a current wave c. more…

USD Index, USDJPY And Crude Oil

Grega Horvat

USD Index is unfolding a nice five-wave drop within red wave iii), which is an indication for even more weakness. Ideally once black sub-wave v fully unfolds, a new three-wave temporary correction into the following wave iv) will show up. The later wave iv) can see limited upside near the former swing high of wave iv at the 92.51 level. more…

Gold And BTCUSD

Grega Horvat

Gold is trading in a three-wave decline, away from 1300 region. We see first wave A) completed, followed by a slow and choppy movement which could be a triangle correction in the making within wave B). Ideally wave B) will unfold two more waves within itself and later make a new push lower, into the final wave C), that can search for a base near the Fibonacci ratios of 138.2/161.8. more…