All posts by Nenad Kerkez

EURUSD Is Bullish Above 1.1260

Nenad Kerkez

If you remember my past articles about EURUSD on 25.AUG I warned that 1.1255 is crucial for EURUSD upside. EURUSD dropped mainly because of Chinese equity markets, Shaghai index and EUROSTOXX50 futures especially at London open. Some hawkish comments about possible rate hike also gave boost to USDx which additionally lowered the pair. Yesterday we saw 2 rejections from 1.1260 each for 50+ pips and finally 1.1260 level was broken again. PMI rose to 53.3 from 51.8 and it better then preliminary estimate. more…

GBPUSD Is Bullish Above 1.5620

Nenad Kerkez

GBPUSD has been trading inside an equidistant channel which supports the uptrend zig zag. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows which is showing us a scholastic example of uptrend. At 78.6 fib – deeper retracement there is a strong confluence with equidistant channel lower trend line so the price might get a bounce in the zone ( 1.5670-85 ) and try another push toward 1.5740 and 1.5780. That being said if the price gets H4 close above cam H4 level ( 1.5780 ) it will target 1.5855 the confluence spot of H5 and upper equidistant channel. more…

USDCAD Is Retracing Towards POC

Nenad Kerkez

US FED will release the statement today, without any press conference and we will probably have some range-bound market till FED statement. Expectations towards rate hike are rising and we could see a rate hike in between September and December. US CPI has come in line with expectations, Core Durable Orders also while major news release for CAD will be GDP later in the week (Friday). However any mention of a possible hike is bullish to USD and traders will pay close attention to FED’s statement. more…

USDJPY Above 123.35 The Pair Is Bullish

Nenad Kerkez

USDJPY has been showing strength and resilience in last 4 days. Technical pattern which is currently shown on H4 chart is clearly V shaped reversal/ Diving Board and it marks strong bounce off important 120.00 zone. Currently the pair is struggling to break 123.35 and above the level pair is considered bullish. If 123.50 breaks the pair could head towards 124.45 , previous double top which shows a confluence with 124.35 resistance. If the pair breaks 122.90 it could gain additional momentum towards 122.00 and 121.50. Overall sentiment and technical picture is still bullish so we need to pay attention to the levels. Breakout/Continuation to the upside is favoured due to momentum and V shaped reversal. more…

USDJPY: Shorting Opportunity

Nenad Kerkez

Monday retail sales in Japan expanded by 1.7% vs forecast of 1% increase. Yen also strengthened due to Greece uncertainty and safe heaven flows.

Technically the pair reached weekly L5 which marks strong support and pullback towards POC could give us an opportunity to short it again. POC comes at 123.20-30 zone ( L3, 61.8, previous swing ) and it should provide shorting opportunities towards 121.50, next level if L5 breaks. For the pair to remain bearish 124.05 should hold as we have 2 trend line cross , and previous swing high as a resistance. more…