Category Archives: EUR/AUD

EUR/AUD Strict Bullish Wolfe Wave At The Bottom Of ATR

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/AUD has been dropping heavily but at this point the ATR has already been overshot by 9 points (see the top left corner). We could see a counter trend movement in the pair where the trend line 1-3 might be a signal for a potential breakout for the long trade. Have in mind that this is a potential breakout only as point 5 might still extend to the downside. Signal for breakout is the break of 1.4296-98 to the upside and we might see EPA (Estimated Price at Arrival) target hit. EPA confluence with ATR is 1.4340-52. This is a strict Wolfe Wave because point 4 lies between points 1 and 2. more…

EUR/AUD M Double Top Shaping Up

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/AUD is making a progressive M pattern characterized by a double top which in turn makes a POC zone (H3, DPP, trend line) 1.4340-50. The move has already happened so any retest could reject the price again (2nd rejection). Ideally inner trend line should hold for continuation of bearish move. Further continuation is seen below the inner trend line and if H1 candle closes below 1.4280. Close below would target 1.4245 and h4 close below 1.4245 should aim for 1.4185. more…

EURAUD Strong Downtrend Continues

Nenad Kerkez

This week we have the ECB meeting, with analysts predicting further forms of QE by reducing deposit rates, which should weaken the EUR. Of recent, we’ve seen Commodities prices rebound, in particular Iron Ore, Copper, Gold, OIl (and coupled pricing on LNG), all key exports of Australia, causing AUD to appreciate. On this basis, should commodities prices continue to recover and ECB introduces further QE then EURAUD will proceed below our daily target that is 1.4650 and might extend to 1.4350 that is clearly seen on daily chart with a strong T-89 pattern rejection. more…