Category Archives: USD/CAD

USDCAD : Correction Within Bullish Impulse

Gregor Horvat

USDCAD turned sharply lower last week and closed at the low on Friday, which suggests that pair is already turning down into a new corrective set-back. We are tracking wave 4-circled that can retrace even back to 1.3800-1.4000 area before uptrend may resume for a final leg within a bullish cycle. For now, invalidation level remains at 1.3456; so as long it will hold trend is actually up, but we would have no problem turning immediately bearish if overlap occurs. more…

USDCAD Can Still Be In A Corrective Phase

Gregor Horvat

USDCAD is turning sharply down from recent highs, which could be start of a new bearish cycle. However, we will always try to label the count so that we will stay with a trend. As such, we adjusted the labeling to a flat in wave 4) which can still drop nearly 300 pips before market can be looking for a support. At the moment we are tracking sub-wave C to 1.2950. Ideally more…

USDCAD Is Retracing Towards POC

Nenad Kerkez

US FED will release the statement today, without any press conference and we will probably have some range-bound market till FED statement. Expectations towards rate hike are rising and we could see a rate hike in between September and December. US CPI has come in line with expectations, Core Durable Orders also while major news release for CAD will be GDP later in the week (Friday). However any mention of a possible hike is bullish to USD and traders will pay close attention to FED’s statement. more…

USDCAD Eyes New High Around 1.3400

Gregor Horvat

On USDCAD we see more upside to come in weeks and months ahead, towards 1.3400 area where pair could accomplish wave C of a big second zigzag that is part of a contra-trend move from 2007 lows. The reason for more upside is latest pullback since March 2015 which looks like a temporary pause within uptrend. Once market will break above the highs from 2008 traders should be aware of a significant trend change, from bullish to bearish mode. more…