Category Archives: USD/JPY

Elliott Wave Analysis: GBPJPY and USDJPY

Grega Horvat

GBPJPY is making a five-wave bearish structure within blue wave c as part of a three-wave consolidation. We see current intra-day structure unfolding an overlapping movement, which can mean a potential ending diagonal within red wave v) of c can be in progress. If that is the case, then once current red wave v) fully unfolds a sharp and strong reversal to the upside can come in play. more…

USD/JPY Descending Trendline Marks The Downtrend

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been dropping, making a descending zig-zag pattern which marks the downtrend. The POC zone 112.40-62 (D H4, Trend line, ATR pivot, EMA89) could reject the price towards 111.70 and if the 111.65 breaks to the downside 111.40 and 111.00 should be next. If we don’t see a retracement towards the POC, pay attention to 111.65 and possible breakout below. However if the price breaks above 112.70 we might see a retest of 113.00-113.15 zone.
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USD/JPY Zig-Zag Uptrend But Watch For D H4 Resistance

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been moving in a zig-zag pattern that indicates uptrend but at this point its close to ATR top/D H4 resistance. We can also see a bearish divergence so we might expect some pullback. The POC zone is 112.00-15 (38.2, D L4, EMA89, ATR pivot). If the price gets there we might see a bounce towards D H5 112.90. However if the price gets to ATR top/ D H5 we might see a rejection towards 112.20-00 again. So watch for both zones in terms of trading as the price might reject from both POC and D H5/ ATR top confluence. more…

USD/JPY Bearish X-Cross Within 111.20 Zone

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been dropping lately, but it has been more of a slow grind than momentum surge. During this slow grind, the price has established a POC zone within 111.15-30 (D H4, 38.2, inner trend line, EMA89, ATR Pivot). X-Cross ™ represents the cross of a trendline with an important pivot point or fib level. In this example we have both fib level and a camarilla pivot, so my assumption is that the X cross is strong. Rejections should aim for 110.65. Break of 110.65 aims for 110.36 and 110.17. more…

USD/JPY De-Risking Ahead Of Trump-Xi Meeting

Nenad Kerkez

As shown on Live Trading Session yesterday, the USD/JPY fell as expected due by overnight sell off in equities. Equities dropped due to de-risking ahead of Trump-Xi meeting, so we might see another bearish rejection on retracement. The POC 110.80-95 ( D H3, EMA89, ATR Pivot, trend line) could reject the price towards 110.18. Break below it should target 109.77 – the strongest daily support. more…

USD May Stay Soft In Near Term

Daud Bhatti

Although the Fed is in the rate hike cycle, USD rally started to lose momentum early this year when market started to realize that monetary policy divergence started to narrow. ECB has started to talk about rate hikes, while China started to tighten monetary policy by raising money market rates early last month. The Fed also sounded less hawkish in their last rate hike as they forecasted only three rate hikes this year and no Fed members agreed to hike rate four times. more…

USD/JPY Master Candle Setup On Intraday Chart

Nenad Kerkez

As we could see on Live Trading Session yesterday both EUR/USD and USD/JPY went in profits. The USD/JPY long from 113.36 tested 113.65 providing approximately 30 pips before FOMC tanked the price.The chart shows previous Master Candles and their respective breakouts. At this point we can see that a Master Candle (MC) has been formed on H1 timeframe. The 1st, 2nd and 3rd candle (after the MC candle has been confirmed) haven’t made any breakout so we need to wait for a price push that might happen around 13:30 after US Employment Claims. Watch for either 113.65 breakout towards 113.80 and 114.15 or 112.94 breakout towards 112.78 and 112.48. Ideally price should proceed above H4 or below L4 to reach its final targets. The ATR of last 14 days is 96 pips. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis: USD Index, EURUSD And USDJPY

Gregor Horvat

USD remains on a bearish foot for now, with USD Index still searching for end of a corrective set-back in wave 4) which may happen near 100.60 level this week. At the same time, EURUSD is pointing higher, up to 1.0730 based on our latest wave count which shows an ending diagonal in wave V of 4). If we are correct, then bulls should not exceed 1.0800! So as long that price is not breached we will look for evidences of a strong bearish turn. more…