Category Archives: USD/JPY

USDJPY Targets 116.6

Ville Vainio

USDJPY continued the decline after NFP on Friday. My preferred wave count is looking for a 3 wave structure and is looking at this decline as wave 2 correction on the way higher. Fibonacci expansion tool on the charts gives targets of 118.6 and 116.6 respectively. These levels are 100% and 161.8% relationships for wave C to wave A. more…

USDJPY Trades Lower For Correction

Gregor Horvat

USDJPY fell sharply lower last week which can be an impulsive move, headed to lower levels based on very strong bearish momentum. That said, we labeled latest recovery as wave B that is part of a complex correction; probably a flat in wave 4) that will be targeting former wave four just beneath 119.00 area. We will be looking for a new turn up from that support region. more…

USDJPY Targets 127.00

Gregor Horvat

USDJPY remains in bullish mode on the daily time frame, despite deep downward retracement to 120.40 that looks now as a completed wave 4 because of a three subwaves down. As such, we suspect that rally since March is going to be an expanding diagonal; it’s a five wave pattern, currently with final sub-wave 5 in play that will likely be targeting 127.00 area, where top could be seen later this summer. more…

USDJPY Above 123.35 The Pair Is Bullish

Nenad Kerkez

USDJPY has been showing strength and resilience in last 4 days. Technical pattern which is currently shown on H4 chart is clearly V shaped reversal/ Diving Board and it marks strong bounce off important 120.00 zone. Currently the pair is struggling to break 123.35 and above the level pair is considered bullish. If 123.50 breaks the pair could head towards 124.45 , previous double top which shows a confluence with 124.35 resistance. If the pair breaks 122.90 it could gain additional momentum towards 122.00 and 121.50. Overall sentiment and technical picture is still bullish so we need to pay attention to the levels. Breakout/Continuation to the upside is favoured due to momentum and V shaped reversal. more…

USD/JPY: where to next?

Fawad Razaqzada

The appetite for risk has improved noticeably this week, as evidenced by a sharp rebound across the global equity markets. FX traders have likewise witnessed the unwinding of some safe haven trades with CHF and JPY both falling sharply following their recent gains. The US dollar has performed well given the fact that the weekly unemployment claims disappointed expectations and after the minutes from the FOMC’s last policy meeting contained very little in the way of new information other than what we already knew. However, as some FOMC members are concerned about the developments in China and Greece, more…

USDJPY: Shorting Opportunity

Nenad Kerkez

Monday retail sales in Japan expanded by 1.7% vs forecast of 1% increase. Yen also strengthened due to Greece uncertainty and safe heaven flows.

Technically the pair reached weekly L5 which marks strong support and pullback towards POC could give us an opportunity to short it again. POC comes at 123.20-30 zone ( L3, 61.8, previous swing ) and it should provide shorting opportunities towards 121.50, next level if L5 breaks. For the pair to remain bearish 124.05 should hold as we have 2 trend line cross , and previous swing high as a resistance. more…