USD/JPY Master Candle Setup On Intraday Chart

Nenad Kerkez

As we could see on Live Trading Session yesterday both EUR/USD and USD/JPY went in profits. The USD/JPY long from 113.36 tested 113.65 providing approximately 30 pips before FOMC tanked the price.The chart shows previous Master Candles and their respective breakouts. At this point we can see that a Master Candle (MC) has been formed on H1 timeframe. The 1st, 2nd and 3rd candle (after the MC candle has been confirmed) haven’t made any breakout so we need to wait for a price push that might happen around 13:30 after US Employment Claims. Watch for either 113.65 breakout towards 113.80 and 114.15 or 112.94 breakout towards 112.78 and 112.48. Ideally price should proceed above H4 or below L4 to reach its final targets. The ATR of last 14 days is 96 pips. more…

USD/CNH Steady Uptrend Intact

Nenad Kerkez

Despite the strong Chinese CPI (Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers), the USD/CNH has formed a strong zig zag pattern for possible uptrend continuation. US PPI (Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers) showed better than expected result and technically we might see a POC rejection. POC (50.0, order block, ATR low) 6.8377-6.8450 might reject the price towards 6.8855 and 6.9045. Ideally bulls want to see the price above EMA89 after the POC rejection. If the price breaks below 6.8230 we might see a bearish breakout towards 6.7895. more…

GBP/USD Master Candle Marks Trend Continuation

Nenad Kerkez

As I showed on Session Recap webinar, the GBP/USD has been in a steady uptrend that was almost interrupted by a stop grabber candle that was initiated after bad GBP/USD data yesterday. At this time we can see a Master Candle (MC) formed and a breakout above 1.2518 should spike the price towards 1.2560 and eventually 1.2600 zone. If a MC breaks lower below 1.2474 then it should retrace to POC zone 1.2435-50 where we might see a bounce towards 1.2515 and above. At this point the GBP/USD is still bullish and watch for a possible trend continuation. more…

AUD/NZD For Feb 01 AUD/NZD Bounces Off Support

Nenad Kerkez

The AUD/NZD bounced off support as expected, driven by worse than expected Unemployment Rate (5.2 % vs 4.8 %) while AUD Commodity Prices showed an increase by 10.9%. Technically POC comes within 1.0355-1.0370 (DPP, L3, 61.8, ABCD hist). The up move is supported by historical ABCD pattern at L3 support so on the next retest of POC zone we might see another bounce towards 1.0430 region. If we don’t see a retracement to POC then a strong h1 momentum or 4h close above 1.0435 might push the price to 1.0470. more…

GBP/JPY Inverted Triangle Upside Broken

Nenad Kerkez

Global equities rally that extended in Asia session weakened the Yen and it fell vs its main counterparts USD and GBP. Both USD/GBP/JPY are heavily connected to Equity markets and when Equities are going up both USD/JPY and GBP/JPY are going up too. The pair has formed an Inverted Triangle (ConTriangle) and subsequently broke its top so we might see a retest-continuation. more…

USDCHF Trading In A Temporary Correction; More Upside Is Expected

Gregor Horvat

On the Daily chart of USDCHF we are looking at a higher degree complex correction, a three wave A-B-C rise of wave IV, that seems to be in action since end of December of 2014. That said as we can see, pair completed a triangle correction in the connecting wave B and made a sharp reversal higher, above the sub-wave D swing. As such we now believe price may unfold a five-wave movement within the final wave C, before making a higher degree impulsive drop towards new lows. Ideally price will make a run towards the 1.0700/1.0750. more…

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