GBPJPY: Ending Correction

Daud Bhatti

GBPJPY Short Term Elliott Wave suggests that the decline to 8/23 low at 139.27 ended Minor wave W. Minor wave X bounce is currently unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave Structure. Minute wave ((w)) of X ended at 141.47, Minute wave ((x)) of X ended at 139.98, and Minute wave ((y)) of X is subdivided into a FLAT. Minutte wave (a) of ((y)) ended at 141.09 and Minutte wave (b) of ((y)) ended at 140.39. Minute wave ((y)) of X has now reached 1.236 extension of ((w))-((x)) and thus the cycle from 8/23 low (139.27) is mature. Sellers may appear anytime from 142.65 – 143.49 area for an extension lower or at least a 3 waves pullback. We don’t like buying the pair. more…

USD Index, USDJPY And Crude Oil

Grega Horvat

USD Index is unfolding a nice five-wave drop within red wave iii), which is an indication for even more weakness. Ideally once black sub-wave v fully unfolds, a new three-wave temporary correction into the following wave iv) will show up. The later wave iv) can see limited upside near the former swing high of wave iv at the 92.51 level. more…

GBPUSD Weekly L3 And D H4 Confluence In Downtrend

Nenad Kerkez

The GBP/USD broke below 1.2020, the weekly L3 level, thus turning the support into a resistance. After a short breakout that I showed on live trading webinar yesterday, the pair started to retrace towards the POC zone 1.2830-50 (Order block, ATR high, trend line, D H5, EMA89). The price could reject there towards the 1.2880 and 1.2770. Only a break below 1.2768 could spur additional weakness in the pair towards 1.2740 zone. The market is calm at this point but the increased volatility is expected during the 2017 Economic Symposium, “Fostering a Dynamic Global Economy”, which will take place Aug. 24-26, 2017 at Jackson Hole, WY. more…

USDJPY Resuming Lower

Daud Bhatti

Short term USDJPY Elliott wave view suggest the decline from 7/11 peak is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure. Decline to 108.71 low ended Minor wave W and Minor wave X bounce ended at 110.95 peak. Subdivision of Minor wave Y is unfolding as a Zigzag structure. Minute wave ((w)) of ((Y) ended at 108.59 low and Minute wave ((x)) of (Y) bounce ended at 109.82. The pair has reacted lower from the blue box, but the move lower will get validation only with a break below 108.59. Until then a double correction in Minutte wave ((x)) still can happen. more…

Gold And BTCUSD

Grega Horvat

Gold is trading in a three-wave decline, away from 1300 region. We see first wave A) completed, followed by a slow and choppy movement which could be a triangle correction in the making within wave B). Ideally wave B) will unfold two more waves within itself and later make a new push lower, into the final wave C), that can search for a base near the Fibonacci ratios of 138.2/161.8. more…

Dow Futures: End Of Cycle?

Daud Bhatti

Short term Dow Futures (YM_F) Elliott wave view suggest that the rally to 8/08 peak 22177 ended the “Cycle” from Feb 11, 2016 low. The decline from there is unfolding as an impulse suggesting the index could be following a Elliott Wave Zigzag pattern in larger degree correction. From there Intermediate wave (1) ended at 21789 in 5 waves at 21789 low and bounce from there ended in 3 swings at 22070 peak as another zigzag pattern within intermediate wave (2). more…

GBP/JPY MACD Divergence At Monthly Support

Nenad Kerkez

The GBP/JPY has made a temporary bottom at 141.25 and we can see MACD divergence that could push the price to the upside.141.25-50 is the zone where price might spike towards the 142.60-85 where new sellers might be waiting. Only a clear 4h close or h1 momentum above 142.90 should target 143.40. Bearish continuation happens only below 140.90, but at this point, the GBP/JPY is supported by Monthly and Weekly supports and bullish MACD divergence. more…

AUDUSD Daily And 4h Look

Grega Horvat

AUDUSD is unfolding a bigger bullish leg to the upside, which can be labeled as a higher degree wave C. This wave C can be part of a bigger three-wave recovery, that is unfolding since November of 2015 (visible on the daily chart). However, we belive this big three-wave recovery may be ending, which means upside can be limited and a new change in trend can follow more…

Gold: More Upside

Daud Bhatti

Short term Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave view suggests that rally from 7/10 low is unfolding as a a double three Elliott wave structure. Up from 7/10 low (1204.69), Minor wave W ended at 1274.11 and pullback to 1251.27 ended Minor wave X. Wave Y is currently in progress as a zigzag Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) is expected to complete with one more leg higher and can reach as high as 1294.3 – 1304.6, then it should pullback in Minute wave ((b)) before the rally resumes, We don’t like selling Gold and expect buyers to appear again after Minute wave ((b)) pullback is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing, provided pivot at 1251.27 low remains intact. more…

EUR/USD Two Breakout Points Outside The Equidistant Channel

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD has perfectly rejected from both POCs after the setup and analysis shown on Weekly Recap and at this time it is very clear that the equidistant channel is trapping the price keeping the range bound market still in play. After a fake-out that happened yesterday 1.1720-1.1690 (which was still good to trade as a breakout trade, and what I showed during the Live Trading webinar) we can see two POC zones within the equidistant channel that might push or tank the price. If the price spikes above 1.1778 (EMA89, D H3, channel high) the target is 1.1798 and 1.1825. Above 1.1832 we should see a continuation towards more…

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