USDCHF: More Upside While Above 0.942

Daud Bhatti

USDCHF Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally from 3.5.2018 low (0.9336) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minor wave W ended at 0.9535. Below from here, Minor wave X ended at 0.942 and the internal subdivision unfolded as a smaller degree double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from 0.9535, Minute wave ((w)) ended at 0.9456, Minute wave ((x)) ended at 0.9494, and Minute wave ((y)) of X ended at 0.942. Minor wave Y is currently in progress as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) should end with 1 more leg higher towards 0.954 – 0.957. more…

USD/CAD Bullish SHS Pattern For A Bounce Towards 1.3000 And Above

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed inverted head and shoulder bullish pattern. The right shoulder has been formed, however the price could still retrace down before a possible bounce. At this point the price might go straight up (from 1.2943) or retrace exactly to POC then bounce. 1.2895-1.2915 is the POC zone so pay attention to it. Targets are 1.2990 – confluence of W H5 and M H3 camarilla pivots. This is a strong resistance zone and the pair needs a 4h close above 1.3000 to proceed further up. In that case, it could even target M H4 in upcoming days. As long as the pair is holding above 1.2800 it is bullish. more…

S&P500 And USDCHF Intra-Day View

Grega Horvat

Stocks are much higher following better than expected US NFP reports on Friday, when E-mini S&P500 broke above 2760 resistance that we kept an eye on. Notice that index is actually today above Feb 27 high so it appears that recovery is still here and it may continue until it makes five wave up from 2648. Currently we see intraday bullish trend while price is above 2731/2740 area, aiming for 2830. more…

Copper At Risk Of Further Weaknesses

Daud Bhatti

Copper (HG_F) broke below $3.5 low ($3.095) earlier today. As a result, it shows a bearish sequence from 2/16 peak ($3.272), risking for further downside. Current short term Elliott Wave view in Copper suggests that the rally to $3.272 on 2/16 ended Primary wave ((X)). The decline from there is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Intermediate wave (W) ended at $3.0955 on 3/5 and Intermediate wave (X) ended at $3.178 on 3/6. Intermediate wave (Y) remains in progress, and while near term bounces stay below $3.178, Copper should see further downside. more…

CADJPY Correction Expected Before Lower Again

Daud Bhatti

Short Term CADJPY Elliott Wave view suggests that the decline from 1/5/2018 high (91.58) is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave Structure where Minor wave 1 ended at 87.785, Minor wave 2 ended at 89.439, Minor wave 3 ended at 84.468, and Minor wave 4 ended at 85.24. Minor wave 5 remains in progress as an impulse Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) of 5 is expected to end soon.

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DAX30 Waiting For The Breakout Move

Nenad Kerkez

As the US data slipped overnight, showing signs of weakening the economy in the US, the data from China is also showing a slowing Manufacturing sector, yet from Europe, the data has been okay this week. US Equities pulled back later in the session yesterday, causing the Dax to follow ever slightly, trade with caution as we may see a breakout move in the Dax30 in hours to come.
The price is very close to POC zone 12387-12407, and the move above the blue trend line could spike the price up to D H3 12490 and D H4 camarilla pivot – 12541. Only a 4h close above D H4 might mike a continuation move towards 12626. However, below 12385 the price might drop to D L4 – 12336 and 12262. Watch for these levels. more…

Gold Ended Correction

Daud Bhatti

We revise our Gold Short Term Elliott Wave view to a more aggressive one and call the decline to 2.8.2018 at $1306.8 ending Intermediate wave (X). For this view to get validity however, the yellow metal needs to break above Intermediate wave (W) at $1366.06. Until then, the alternate view can’t be ruled out that the yellow metal can do a double correction in Intermediate wave (X) towards $1228.27 – $1302.28 before the rally resumes. more…

SP500 Adam And Adam Double Bottom Pattern In Progress

Nenad Kerkez

The SP500 has formed Adam and Adam double bottom pattern. Adam pattern is very similar to a W shaped reversal pattern except for the two related bullish spikes that distinguish the pattern from the W bullish. Point 1 and Point 3 form the basis while point 2 is a continuation point. The POC is formed within 2688-2700 zone and the price could spike from the zone towards 2727 (point 2). A 4h close above 2727 should target 2772 followed by 2808 on a further bullish momentum. Only below W L4 – 2662 the price might turn neutral again. more…

GBP/USD Congestion Zone 1.3866-1.3916

Nenad Kerkez

The GBP/USD has been consolidating within the 1.3866-1.3916 zone and we can see a clear congestion without any clear breakout to the upside. UK January CPI remained at 3.0% contrary to the 2.9 % forecast. Technically the price has been supported at 1.3866-76 and while the price bias remains bullish, the pair needs to make a strong 1h candle above 1.3920 in order to proceed further up. Clear break or 4h close above 1.3920 should target 1.3942, 1.3983 eventually reaching 1.4035 W H4 level. However a break below 1.3840 might go for a retest of 1.3799. more…

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