Tag Archives: AUD

Video Analysis: AUDJPY, NIKKEI, OIL, USDCAD

Grega Horvat

USDCAD was trading bearish through May 2017 and through September. We can see that a five-wave impulse had unfolded on the daily time frame and later found a low at the 1.2058 level. From there a new bullish movement followed, which we labeled it as wave A, first wave of a three-wave recovery which means more gains is expected to occur after current wave B is finished, which can look for a base around 1.2600 and also complete a bullish H&S pattern. more…

EURAUD Could See More Upside

Daud Bhatti

EURAUD Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 1.5057 ended Intermediate wave (X). Up from there, the rally unfolded in 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure, suggesting that while pullbacks stay above 1.5057 low, pair could see more upside. Up from 1.5057, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 1.5234, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 1.5075, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 1.5606, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 1.5481, and Minute wave ((v)) ended at 1.5657. more…

AUD/JPY Bearish Zig Zag Pattern Aiming For 85.35 If 86.25 Holds

Nenad Kerkez

The AUD/JPY could reject from the POC zone 85.90-95 (50.0, W L5, EMA89, D H3) and as long as 85.18-25 holds we might see a drop towards 85.50 and 85.35. Only if we see a 4h or 1h momentum close below 85.35 the pair might target 85.05 and 84.56. Have in mind that the AUD/JPY is a bi slow moving pair so it might take some time to get to its final target. At this point the focus is on the POC zone more…

AUDUSD Looking For More Weakness

Grega Horvat

Around early of September of 2017, AUDUSD completed a higher degree complex correction within wave IV. This correction ended with a five-wave drop towards the 0.7650 level, which can in months ahead result as a bigger bearish cycle. Well, this fall gives us an idea of a change in trend from bullish to bearish and can be labeled as red wave 1), that can find potential support near the 0.7562 level and from there breach higher into corrective wave 2). more…

AUD/JPY Drops On Worse Than Expected CPI

Nenad Kerkez

The Australian CPI rose 1.8 percent for the year which was lower than 2 percent expectation. The data hurt the AUD and it made a direct drop to W L4 with an extension to 87.78. At this point shorting on rallies is the option. Short term scalps could come around 88.08 while positional short trades could come at the POC zone 88.25-40 (D L4/L5, W L3, Order block, EMA89, trend line,atr pivot, 50.0 Fib). more…

AUDUSD Support At 0.7815

Daud Bhatti

AUDUSD Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that Primary wave ((W)) ended at 0.7731 on October 6th low. Up from there, Primary wave ((X)) is currently unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Intermediate Wave (W) of ((X)) ended at 0.7807 and Intermediate wave (X) of ((X)) ended at 0.7815. Near term, while pullbacks stay above 0.7815, but more importantly above 10/6 low at 0.7731, expect pair to extend higher. At this stage, pair still needs to break above Intermediate wave (W) at 0.7815 to give more validity to this view. Until then, we can’t rule out a double correction in Intermediate wave ((X)). more…

Expect AUDJPY To Extend Lower Towards 87.37

Daud Bhatti

AUDJPY Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally to 90.31 ended Intermediate wave (W). Intermediate wave (X) pullback remains in progress as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from 90.31, Minor wave W ended at 88.44 and Minor wave X ended at 89.68. Minor wave Y is unfolding also as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((w)) of Y ended at 88.23 and Minute wave ((x)) of Y is proposed complete at 88.89. Near term, while bounces stay below 9/25 peak at 89.69, expect pair to extend lower towards 87.37 – 87.8` area to complete more…

AUDUSD Daily And 4h Look

Grega Horvat

AUDUSD is unfolding a bigger bullish leg to the upside, which can be labeled as a higher degree wave C. This wave C can be part of a bigger three-wave recovery, that is unfolding since November of 2015 (visible on the daily chart). However, we belive this big three-wave recovery may be ending, which means upside can be limited and a new change in trend can follow more…