Tag Archives: CAD

USD/CAD Rectangle Consolidation Above Ascending Trend Line

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has been consolidating within the rectangle range above M L3 pivot point. Consolidation is also between the W L3 and H3 above the ascending trend line, so I assume the price is still bullish. 1.2760-1.2787 is the POC zone and we might expect a bullish bounce once the price retests the zone. However, if the candle breaks and closes above W H3 -1.2932 we should see a continuation to the upside targeting 1.2980 and 1.3060. more…

USD/CAD Bullish SHS Pattern For A Bounce Towards 1.3000 And Above

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed inverted head and shoulder bullish pattern. The right shoulder has been formed, however the price could still retrace down before a possible bounce. At this point the price might go straight up (from 1.2943) or retrace exactly to POC then bounce. 1.2895-1.2915 is the POC zone so pay attention to it. Targets are 1.2990 – confluence of W H5 and M H3 camarilla pivots. This is a strong resistance zone and the pair needs a 4h close above 1.3000 to proceed further up. In that case, it could even target M H4 in upcoming days. As long as the pair is holding above 1.2800 it is bullish. more…

CADJPY Correction Expected Before Lower Again

Daud Bhatti

Short Term CADJPY Elliott Wave view suggests that the decline from 1/5/2018 high (91.58) is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave Structure where Minor wave 1 ended at 87.785, Minor wave 2 ended at 89.439, Minor wave 3 ended at 84.468, and Minor wave 4 ended at 85.24. Minor wave 5 remains in progress as an impulse Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) of 5 is expected to end soon.

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USD/CAD Might Make A U-Turn If 1.2560 Holds

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has been in a retracement mode but without an additional momentum to break recent highs. The pair is making a lower high now and if 1.2560 holds we might see a u-turn on the price. Targets are W H3 and W L3 levels – 1.2468 and 1.2376, but in the case you are trading intraday pay attention to W H1 – W L1 levels 1.2437 and 1.2405 respectively. A spike above 1.2560 could turn the price bullish again targeting 1.2606 and 1.2653. more…

USD/CAD Is Below The Chuvashov’s Fork

Nenad Kerkez

Overnight support was found on Oil, as prices have begun to rise once again. This is positive for CAD relative to USD. The USD/CAD is currently below both Weekly and Daily L4 support levels, indicating a strong downtrend. At this point, we can see that the price is trapped below the Chuvashov’s fork (magenta trend lines) and a retest of POC zone 1.2385-1.2400 could see some fresh shorts. However short term rejections are possible also around 1.2365 (blue dotted line). Target is Weekly L5 – 1.2322 where we could see some profit taking and a bounce. USD/CAD long trades are possible if the fork is broken. The break of 1.2440 should be a potential long towards 1.2490 and 1.2544. more…

Video Analysis: AUDJPY, NIKKEI, OIL, USDCAD

Grega Horvat

USDCAD was trading bearish through May 2017 and through September. We can see that a five-wave impulse had unfolded on the daily time frame and later found a low at the 1.2058 level. From there a new bullish movement followed, which we labeled it as wave A, first wave of a three-wave recovery which means more gains is expected to occur after current wave B is finished, which can look for a base around 1.2600 and also complete a bullish H&S pattern. more…

USD/CAD Is Waiting For Fundamental Data Release

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed a double top pattern exactly at D H3 pivot. At this point we see a retracement that shows another proof how strong camarilla pivot points are. From a fundamental point of view the market might be waiting for ADP data today as well as CAD Employment change and trade balance. We should see a bit of volatility during the NY/LO Session overlap. From a technical point we see the two POC zones. The first POC 1.2840-55 (order block, EMA89, D L4, 23.6) or the second POC zone 1..2800-15 (inner TL, D L5, 38.2, order block) might reject the price towards 1.2915, 1.2940 and 1.2982 on good ADP / bad CAD data. However if the price drops due to bad USD / good CAD data breakout below 1.2798 should target 1.2774, 1.2740 and 1.2726. Mixed data should keep the price action within the technical outlook. more…

USD/CAD Down After An Unexpected Rate Hike

Nenad Kerkez

As we have seen tightening in the US by the Fed over the past year, there usually is a correlation with other Western economies following the US lead in returning Monetary Policy to historical levels. In this case, the BoC had increased their rate for the second time in recent months largely following an improvement in GDP Growth, along with price stability in their major export Oil and Gas. Needless to say, BoC is somewhat hamstrung with its ability to continue hiking due to its high household debt levels along with real estate prices in Toronto having dropped 20% since April 2017. more…

USDCAD: Correction Ended

Daud Bhatti

Short term USDCAD Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 1.2411 ended Intermediate wave (3) of an Elliott Wave impulse structure from 6/2 peak. Intermediate wave (4) bounce is in progress as a flat Elliott wave structure where Minor wave A ended at 1.2576 and Minor wave B ended at 1.2416. Minor wave C is subdivided as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 1.2416 low, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 1.253 and pullback to 1.2443 ended Minute wave ((ii)). Pair then rallied more…