Tag Archives: CAD

USD/CAD Contracting Triangle In Uptrend

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed a contracting triangle in the uptrend, signalling for a potential retracement. At this point traders should pay attention to two possible breakout points. A breakout to the upside could happen at the break of 1.3742 level (D H3 and Upper triangle trend line) while a breakout to the downside could happen if 1.3695 breaks (D L3 and Lower triangle trend line). The point where trend lines cross camarilla pivot point is called an X Cross. Target for the upside breakout is 1.3800 while the target for the downside breakout is 1.3635. more…

USDCAD Elliott Wave View: Extending Higher

Short term Elliott Wave view in USDCAD suggest the decline to 1.322 ended Intermediate wave (X). The rally from there is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 1.3525 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 1.3406. Minute wave ((w)) is subdivided as a Flat Elliott wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended at 1.3338 and Minutte wave (b) ended at 1.3258. Pair is currently within Minute wave ((y)) which is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (w) ended at 1.3626 and Minutte wave (x) FLAT ended at 1.3526. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis: EURCAD And NZDJPY

Gregor Horvat

EURCAD: Current fall below wave A) swing low suggests that EURCAD can be in wave C) already which may continue south to 1.4100 or maybe even to 1.3930 ideal target. However, we must keep in mind that this is a corrective pullback from 1.4598; it’s a contra-trend move that will sooner or later send price back to bullish mode. Bounce in small five waves back to 1.4300 will put prices back in uptrend. more…

USD/CAD Bullish SHS Pattern Shaping Up

Nenad Kerkez

As we approach the President elect Trump’s inauguration date later this month, the USD data has been very sound to begin the year. Whilst Commodities prices in general have strengthened since Trump indicated he wanted to rebuild America’s infrastructure, the price of Oil has dipped in recent days. Nonetheless, the CAD has been performing pretty well, and on the Daily TF, we seem to have had a double top on this pair at 1.36, that pulls the price down. As you can see on weekly chart the price is retracing towards POC zone where it could shape Inverted Head and Shoulders (Bullish SHS) pattern. more…

USD/CAD Up As Oil Price Retreats

Nenad Kerkez

Following a report that European Oil storages have hit their limits and that Oil tankers were being hired in Europe to store excess Oil, we saw the Oil price retreat over the past week, causing CAD weakness. Trump’s historic Presidential win has only seen USD strength as his fiscal policy plans are likely to lead to more US Debt and Inflationary expectations have risen, meaning a rate hike is a greater chance. more…

USD/CAD Hidden Bullish Divergence At L5 Pivot

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has broken through 1.2900 as predicted on a previous Session Recap webinar straight to the target. At this point we can see a hidden bullish divergence at L5 camarilla pivot point that could give us a retracement for next short opportunity. There are 2 scenarios. First scenario is trend move. If the price proceeds to POC 1.2925-40 (bearish order block, L3,divergence trend line), it could reverse to 1.2820 and 1.2764. POC is also protected by 38.2 and EMA89 just above it. Second scenario is H1 momentum or 4h close below L5 weekly camarilla – 1.2815. In that case traders should look for 1.2764 target. more…

USD/CAD Keeps Selling On Rallies In A Strong Zig Zag

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has been in a strong downtrend after a break of a trend line (blue) indicated by a failed W bullish pattern in uptrend (green rectangle). At this point we see a strong bearish zig zag targeting sub 1.2800 levels, if the pair proceeds with downtrend. Retracement to POC targets 1.2910-25 zone (61.8, historical sellers, H4 cam DPP, EMA89). If we don’t see a pullback towards POC then we will need watch for h1 momentum or 4h close below L3 – 1.2850 that could tank the pair down to 1.2788. Below 1.2788, the pair is targeting 1.2722. more…

USD/CAD Make It Or Break It

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has dropped from important historical resistance and it was shown live on a previous Session Recap webinar. Currently the price is at important support and it will be either make it or break it for the pair. 1.2980-95 is POC zone (L3, EMA89, 61.8, trend line) and it making an X Cross with ascending intra week trend line (blue). If we see a rejection from POC and 4h close above 1.3010, the targets will be 1.3030, 1.3060 and 1.3100. However if the price drops below 1.2975 it should target 1.2946, 1.2920 and 1.2880. Pay attention to price flow and eventual bounce or break below POC zone. more…