Tag Archives: EUR

EURUSD Short Term Rally Opportunity

Peter Adamson

I was waiting for EURUSD to rally yesterday, and this morning I missed it! Silly me. But it is correcting now, so I think there may be a chance to get in.

Remember what Gann taught us about the safest point of entry: the first higher bottom. If you observe the hourly chart you will see that the trend has reversed to the upside. We now have a range from 1.1916 at 13:00 on 9 January to 1.2018 at 12:00 today. Notice the interval is very close to 24 hours. Naturally we will be looking for support at the fib levels between these two prices: more…

EUR/USD Buying The Dip Continues During Holidays

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD has been bought on the dip that formed the right shoulder of the bullish SHS pattern also known as – Inverted Head and Shoulders. Holiday trading is always risky due to low liquidity, and lower liquidity might in turn, produce higher volatility. But at this point, the trading has been a bit quiet. The ATR for the last 14 days is only 62 pips, and the EUR/USD has made 29 by the time of writing this analysis. As long as the EUR/USD is kept above 1.1835 targets are 1.1890. 1.1905 and 1.1950. Have in mind the ATR projection high is 1.1917, so the pair needs to break above 1.1917 with a stronger momentum to reach the W H4 resistance. If it manages to touch and stay above 1.1906, 1.1950 could be achieved by the end of the week providing we don’t see any profit taking on long trades. more…

EURAUD Could See More Upside

Daud Bhatti

EURAUD Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 1.5057 ended Intermediate wave (X). Up from there, the rally unfolded in 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure, suggesting that while pullbacks stay above 1.5057 low, pair could see more upside. Up from 1.5057, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 1.5234, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 1.5075, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 1.5606, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 1.5481, and Minute wave ((v)) ended at 1.5657. more…

EUR/JPY Consolidation Breakout Possible

Nenad Kerkez

Different Forex crosses are breaking out of their consolidation phase, making breakouts off the important levels as we could see yesterday in the example of the GBP/NZD. Today we have a consolidation with a possible breakout on EUR/JPY. The POC zone 132.12-132.30 (D H3, EMA89, 38.2,are pivot) could reject the price towards 131.90. Break below 131.90 might target 131.75 and 131.30. The current ATR is 37 pips while the projected ATR is 86 pips so the price still has the room till next support levels.
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EURJPY Searching For A Top

Grega Horvat

EURJPY is showing a nice bearish price pattern; an ending diagonal up from Oct 16 low that can cause a strong rise of JPY against the EUR. For such scenario we would need a drop on USDJPY and also fall on stocks while 10 year US notes would rise. At the moment we do not see such scenario yet, but it’s good to be prepared. technically speaking a decisive fall below 133.48 and then a retest of that same level can be a good bearish set-up for this week, but only if 134.15 high remains untouched. more…

EUR/USD Trend Lines In Confluence With POC Zone

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD is in a strong bullish trend and as we can see on the chart the price has pierced through 1.1800 driven by risk sentiment and the Spain situation. Today FOMC meeting minutes are the most important event so we might see two-way price action. At this point the price is still going up straight from the trend line and 23.6 fib. Continuation above 1.1855 aims for 1.1880 and 1.1895. However, if the price gets in a retracement phase watch for 1.1760-75 zone (D L4, EMA89, trend line, ATR low, W H3). Targets remain the same if the pair breaks 1.1810 on the bounce up. Only a move below 1.1750 might make a bearish breakout towards 1.1720 and 1.1695. more…

Triangle On EURJPY Points Lower

Grega Horvat

EURJPY is showing us a complex, overlapping and slow correction, which we see it as a Elliott wave triangle pattern. We see current triangle trading in final stages, with leg E searching for resistance. Resistance can be seen near the Fibonacci ratio of 61.8, from where a new drop lower can come in play. Later a new drop towards red wave C) can follow. more…

EUR/USD Downward 4 Hour Channel is Broken

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD is trying to break the downward PPR channel and at the same time push above the AP channel. I am favoring a bullish bias as long as 1.1692 holds as I previously analysed in the EUR/USD analysis. If bullish scenario persists 1.1822 is the target followed by 1.1873 and 1.1916. Of course, for that to happen bullish momentum needs to be strong. 4h close above each important level is needed for the price to stair-step to next level (1.1822-1.1873-1.1916) The bullish bias is accompanied by a bullish divergence within the POC zone 1.1750-80. Have in mind this is a completely counter trend outlook. more…

EUR/USD’S Six Month Bull Run May End But Trend May Not

Fawad Razaqzada

After rising for six straight months, the EUR/USD looks set to end September lower, barring an unexpectedly sharp rally at the end of this week. Part of the reason for its sluggish performance can be explained away by a rebounding US dollar, which has recently found support on renewed hawkishness from the Federal Reserve. From the Eurozone, political uncertainty and disappointment that the European Central Bank has so far more…

EUR/USD Two Breakout Points Outside The Equidistant Channel

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD has perfectly rejected from both POCs after the setup and analysis shown on Weekly Recap and at this time it is very clear that the equidistant channel is trapping the price keeping the range bound market still in play. After a fake-out that happened yesterday 1.1720-1.1690 (which was still good to trade as a breakout trade, and what I showed during the Live Trading webinar) we can see two POC zones within the equidistant channel that might push or tank the price. If the price spikes above 1.1778 (EMA89, D H3, channel high) the target is 1.1798 and 1.1825. Above 1.1832 we should see a continuation towards more…