Tag Archives: EUR

EUR/JPY Consolidation Breakout Possible

Nenad Kerkez

Different Forex crosses are breaking out of their consolidation phase, making breakouts off the important levels as we could see yesterday in the example of the GBP/NZD. Today we have a consolidation with a possible breakout on EUR/JPY. The POC zone 132.12-132.30 (D H3, EMA89, 38.2,are pivot) could reject the price towards 131.90. Break below 131.90 might target 131.75 and 131.30. The current ATR is 37 pips while the projected ATR is 86 pips so the price still has the room till next support levels.
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EURJPY Searching For A Top

Grega Horvat

EURJPY is showing a nice bearish price pattern; an ending diagonal up from Oct 16 low that can cause a strong rise of JPY against the EUR. For such scenario we would need a drop on USDJPY and also fall on stocks while 10 year US notes would rise. At the moment we do not see such scenario yet, but it’s good to be prepared. technically speaking a decisive fall below 133.48 and then a retest of that same level can be a good bearish set-up for this week, but only if 134.15 high remains untouched. more…

EUR/USD Trend Lines In Confluence With POC Zone

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD is in a strong bullish trend and as we can see on the chart the price has pierced through 1.1800 driven by risk sentiment and the Spain situation. Today FOMC meeting minutes are the most important event so we might see two-way price action. At this point the price is still going up straight from the trend line and 23.6 fib. Continuation above 1.1855 aims for 1.1880 and 1.1895. However, if the price gets in a retracement phase watch for 1.1760-75 zone (D L4, EMA89, trend line, ATR low, W H3). Targets remain the same if the pair breaks 1.1810 on the bounce up. Only a move below 1.1750 might make a bearish breakout towards 1.1720 and 1.1695. more…

Triangle On EURJPY Points Lower

Grega Horvat

EURJPY is showing us a complex, overlapping and slow correction, which we see it as a Elliott wave triangle pattern. We see current triangle trading in final stages, with leg E searching for resistance. Resistance can be seen near the Fibonacci ratio of 61.8, from where a new drop lower can come in play. Later a new drop towards red wave C) can follow. more…

EUR/USD Downward 4 Hour Channel is Broken

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD is trying to break the downward PPR channel and at the same time push above the AP channel. I am favoring a bullish bias as long as 1.1692 holds as I previously analysed in the EUR/USD analysis. If bullish scenario persists 1.1822 is the target followed by 1.1873 and 1.1916. Of course, for that to happen bullish momentum needs to be strong. 4h close above each important level is needed for the price to stair-step to next level (1.1822-1.1873-1.1916) The bullish bias is accompanied by a bullish divergence within the POC zone 1.1750-80. Have in mind this is a completely counter trend outlook. more…

EUR/USD’S Six Month Bull Run May End But Trend May Not

Fawad Razaqzada

After rising for six straight months, the EUR/USD looks set to end September lower, barring an unexpectedly sharp rally at the end of this week. Part of the reason for its sluggish performance can be explained away by a rebounding US dollar, which has recently found support on renewed hawkishness from the Federal Reserve. From the Eurozone, political uncertainty and disappointment that the European Central Bank has so far more…

EUR/USD Two Breakout Points Outside The Equidistant Channel

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD has perfectly rejected from both POCs after the setup and analysis shown on Weekly Recap and at this time it is very clear that the equidistant channel is trapping the price keeping the range bound market still in play. After a fake-out that happened yesterday 1.1720-1.1690 (which was still good to trade as a breakout trade, and what I showed during the Live Trading webinar) we can see two POC zones within the equidistant channel that might push or tank the price. If the price spikes above 1.1778 (EMA89, D H3, channel high) the target is 1.1798 and 1.1825. Above 1.1832 we should see a continuation towards more…

EURUSD Daily And 4 Hour Outlook

Grega Horvat

On the daily chart of EURUSD we can see a nice rising price activity since start of 2017, which can be labeled as a higher degree wave C) in the making. We know that wave C) is an impulse, which means it must consists out of five sub-waves. Well, here we already see three, which means once the upcoming wave 4 correction unfolds, a new push higher into final wave 5 of C) may start to develop. We also see Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 being touched, which can act as resistance for wave 3 and push prices lower into wave 4. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis: EURUSD And NZDUSD

Grega Horvat

Good day traders! Today we’re gonna take a look at some intraday charts. The first one is EURUSD. The EURUSD is trading nicely higher today, probably in final stages of a higher degree bullish impulse. Ideally current rally since 28th of July is the final push of a black wave v of v), that will search for limited upside near the middle or upper channel line. From the mentioned region a new change in trend can come in play. more…

Powerful Reversal Pattern On EURJPY Points Lower

Grega Horvat

EURJPY can be trading in final stages of a higher degree impulse, which means a three wave reversal lower can be in view. Current rally can be final wave 5) in the making, that is more and more looking like an ending diagonal pattern. An ending diagonal pattern is a powerful reversal pattern, that can after its completion push prices in the opposite direction. Hopefully, current Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 will act as a resistance and also push prices lower. more…