Tag Archives: JPY

Elliott Wave Analysis: GBPJPY and USDJPY

Grega Horvat

GBPJPY is making a five-wave bearish structure within blue wave c as part of a three-wave consolidation. We see current intra-day structure unfolding an overlapping movement, which can mean a potential ending diagonal within red wave v) of c can be in progress. If that is the case, then once current red wave v) fully unfolds a sharp and strong reversal to the upside can come in play. more…

USD/JPY Descending Trendline Marks The Downtrend

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been dropping, making a descending zig-zag pattern which marks the downtrend. The POC zone 112.40-62 (D H4, Trend line, ATR pivot, EMA89) could reject the price towards 111.70 and if the 111.65 breaks to the downside 111.40 and 111.00 should be next. If we don’t see a retracement towards the POC, pay attention to 111.65 and possible breakout below. However if the price breaks above 112.70 we might see a retest of 113.00-113.15 zone.
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Powerful Reversal Pattern On EURJPY Points Lower

Grega Horvat

EURJPY can be trading in final stages of a higher degree impulse, which means a three wave reversal lower can be in view. Current rally can be final wave 5) in the making, that is more and more looking like an ending diagonal pattern. An ending diagonal pattern is a powerful reversal pattern, that can after its completion push prices in the opposite direction. Hopefully, current Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 will act as a resistance and also push prices lower. more…

CHF JPY Bullish Elliott Wave Sequence

Daud Bhatti

In this article we will take a look at Elliott Wave structure of CHF JPY pair since the low at 4.16.2017. Move up from 4.16.2017 (107.67) to 5.25.2017 (115.16) was in 7 swings and completed wave (W). Then we saw the pair pull back from the highs. Below is the 480 minute chart presented to clients on 11th June 2017 where we were looking for pair to end the correction in 112.87 – 111.52 area and resume the rally for new highs. more…

USD/JPY Zig-Zag Uptrend But Watch For D H4 Resistance

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been moving in a zig-zag pattern that indicates uptrend but at this point its close to ATR top/D H4 resistance. We can also see a bearish divergence so we might expect some pullback. The POC zone is 112.00-15 (38.2, D L4, EMA89, ATR pivot). If the price gets there we might see a bounce towards D H5 112.90. However if the price gets to ATR top/ D H5 we might see a rejection towards 112.20-00 again. So watch for both zones in terms of trading as the price might reject from both POC and D H5/ ATR top confluence. more…

USD/JPY Bearish X-Cross Within 111.20 Zone

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been dropping lately, but it has been more of a slow grind than momentum surge. During this slow grind, the price has established a POC zone within 111.15-30 (D H4, 38.2, inner trend line, EMA89, ATR Pivot). X-Cross ™ represents the cross of a trendline with an important pivot point or fib level. In this example we have both fib level and a camarilla pivot, so my assumption is that the X cross is strong. Rejections should aim for 110.65. Break of 110.65 aims for 110.36 and 110.17. more…

Macron’S Triumph Removes Eurozone Political Risk

Daud Bhatti

Emmanuel Macron won the presidential election last Sunday, defeating Marine Le Pen, a far-right nationalist who wanted to take France out of the European Union. Markets had feared that Le Pen’s win could threaten the EU project, but Macron’s win has eliminated uncertainty regarding France’s membership of the Euro and removed the risk of near-term severe political shock to France and wider Europe. The Euro went above $1.10 briefly, but since then has pulled back. The upwards move was not dramatic than the first round of French elections as many traders have anticipated Macron’s victory and thus victory was already well priced in. more…

EUR/JPY Huge Marubozu After French Elections

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/JPY had formed a huge marubozu candle (purple highlight) on 4h time frame after it was announced that Emmanuel Macron won the first round of the French presidential elections. If you followed my Price Action Trading School, than you should know that marubozu candle appears during high momentum in the market. Equities and EUR/USD went bullish, especially CAC40 as I predicted and analysed in the blog post before the elections. more…