Tag Archives: JPY

Elliott Wave Analysis: EURCAD And NZDJPY

Gregor Horvat

EURCAD: Current fall below wave A) swing low suggests that EURCAD can be in wave C) already which may continue south to 1.4100 or maybe even to 1.3930 ideal target. However, we must keep in mind that this is a corrective pullback from 1.4598; it’s a contra-trend move that will sooner or later send price back to bullish mode. Bounce in small five waves back to 1.4300 will put prices back in uptrend. more…

USD/JPY De-Risking Ahead Of Trump-Xi Meeting

Nenad Kerkez

As shown on Live Trading Session yesterday, the USD/JPY fell as expected due by overnight sell off in equities. Equities dropped due to de-risking ahead of Trump-Xi meeting, so we might see another bearish rejection on retracement. The POC 110.80-95 ( D H3, EMA89, ATR Pivot, trend line) could reject the price towards 110.18. Break below it should target 109.77 – the strongest daily support. more…

USD May Stay Soft In Near Term

Daud Bhatti

Although the Fed is in the rate hike cycle, USD rally started to lose momentum early this year when market started to realize that monetary policy divergence started to narrow. ECB has started to talk about rate hikes, while China started to tighten monetary policy by raising money market rates early last month. The Fed also sounded less hawkish in their last rate hike as they forecasted only three rate hikes this year and no Fed members agreed to hike rate four times. more…

USD/JPY Master Candle Setup On Intraday Chart

Nenad Kerkez

As we could see on Live Trading Session yesterday both EUR/USD and USD/JPY went in profits. The USD/JPY long from 113.36 tested 113.65 providing approximately 30 pips before FOMC tanked the price.The chart shows previous Master Candles and their respective breakouts. At this point we can see that a Master Candle (MC) has been formed on H1 timeframe. The 1st, 2nd and 3rd candle (after the MC candle has been confirmed) haven’t made any breakout so we need to wait for a price push that might happen around 13:30 after US Employment Claims. Watch for either 113.65 breakout towards 113.80 and 114.15 or 112.94 breakout towards 112.78 and 112.48. Ideally price should proceed above H4 or below L4 to reach its final targets. The ATR of last 14 days is 96 pips. more…

GBP/JPY Inverted Triangle Upside Broken

Nenad Kerkez

Global equities rally that extended in Asia session weakened the Yen and it fell vs its main counterparts USD and GBP. Both USD/GBP/JPY are heavily connected to Equity markets and when Equities are going up both USD/JPY and GBP/JPY are going up too. The pair has formed an Inverted Triangle (ConTriangle) and subsequently broke its top so we might see a retest-continuation. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis: USD Index, EURUSD And USDJPY

Gregor Horvat

USD remains on a bearish foot for now, with USD Index still searching for end of a corrective set-back in wave 4) which may happen near 100.60 level this week. At the same time, EURUSD is pointing higher, up to 1.0730 based on our latest wave count which shows an ending diagonal in wave V of 4). If we are correct, then bulls should not exceed 1.0800! So as long that price is not breached we will look for evidences of a strong bearish turn. more…

GBP/JPY More Downside Expected

Nenad Kerkez

When other pairs are moving in a low ATR, the GBP/JPY aka “The Dragon” simply doesn’t care about thin holiday liquidity. ATR of last seven days is 115 and that leaves traders with a more room to trade it. Technically we have 2 POC zones. The first POC zone 143.35-143.50 (38.2, bearish order block, ATR level) could reject the price should the pair retrace. Slightly above it is POC2 143.60-85 (H3,50.0, DPP, ATR projected top). Traders should pay attention to possible ejections from the zones towards 143.00 and 142.40. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis: USDJPY

Gregor Horvat

On the 4h chart of USDJPY we are observing a nice sharp impulsive development taking place, with price now ideally trading in an unfolding wave 4. We think that correction in wave 4 may be underway, because of the previous minor five wave development that had unfolded in black wave 3. As we know after every five waves, a three wave contra trend follows so in our case, this contra trend could be wave 4, with a possible support seen around the 110.75 level. more…

AUD/JPY Making Strong Bullish Swings Above Order Blocks

Nenad Kerkez

Base metals are up – Copper, Iron Ore. LNG (Oil) is also stable and going up while Australian Treasury Yields have increased the past month. We can see an overall JPY weakness across the board. Technically, we have 2 POC zones 83.10-25 is the retracement trend line break and X cross ™ so if the price pullbacks to the zone it might spike up. The price is above H3 camarilla resistance so it might also reject from H3. In the case of deeper retracement we should pay attention to 82.65-75 POC2 (trend line, DPP, L3, bullish order block). The 4h close or 1h momentum above 83.40 should aim for 84.40 – final target for this swing. more…