Tag Archives: JPY

Elliott Wave Analysis: USDJPY

Gregor Horvat

On the 4h chart of USDJPY we are observing a nice sharp impulsive development taking place, with price now ideally trading in an unfolding wave 4. We think that correction in wave 4 may be underway, because of the previous minor five wave development that had unfolded in black wave 3. As we know after every five waves, a three wave contra trend follows so in our case, this contra trend could be wave 4, with a possible support seen around the 110.75 level. more…

AUD/JPY Making Strong Bullish Swings Above Order Blocks

Nenad Kerkez

Base metals are up – Copper, Iron Ore. LNG (Oil) is also stable and going up while Australian Treasury Yields have increased the past month. We can see an overall JPY weakness across the board. Technically, we have 2 POC zones 83.10-25 is the retracement trend line break and X cross ™ so if the price pullbacks to the zone it might spike up. The price is above H3 camarilla resistance so it might also reject from H3. In the case of deeper retracement we should pay attention to 82.65-75 POC2 (trend line, DPP, L3, bullish order block). The 4h close or 1h momentum above 83.40 should aim for 84.40 – final target for this swing. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis On USDJPY And USDCHF

Gregor Horvat

FX market is moving sideways, with a corrective price move shown on some several USD pairs, so USDJPY can be in a similar position. As we see on the chart, price structure from the last few days looks very tight, meaning it can still be trading corrective within wave four as part of an uptrend. Ideally this correction is a running triangle, that is pointing up into wave v of C towards the 105.00 projected area, while 102.77 support is not breached. more…

USD/JPY Another Higher Low Is Printed Out

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY aka “ninja” has been printing out higher highs and higher lows on intra day charts. If 101.75 holds we might see another push towards 102.70 and 103.05 as we can see a T89 on H4 chart. POC comes withing 102.05-102.18 (trend line/steep trend line, L3, X-Cross ™,historical buyers). Although I am not a fan of steep trend lines, this one follows the price and it is making an X-Cross ™ with other confluence factors. New rejection could use a fresh momentum from a new higher low towards fresh daily highs. However if 101.75 fails we could see a dip towards 101.30. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis On EURJPY And SILVER

Gregor Horvat

EURJPY Markets are very slow today after we have seen action on friday following NFP report. Here we have EURJPY now that made a deep pullback in the last four weeks, but for now still with three waves from around 118.40 which appears to be a corrective move. Notice that price has made five subwaves down in wave C which is now turning up from the lower support channel line. Current bounce looks very promising for bullish price action ahead that may lift price even back to levels from July highs if upper trendline is broken. more…

Yuppy Is Going Down

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/JPY is making bearish swings on daily chart and our mini chart suggests a continuation of bearish trend. Sell on rallies could be possible close to POC 113.35-50 (H3,DPP, trend line). Additionally POC zone is 78.6 fib of the last bearish swing on H1 chart. The target is 112.75 and if the price makes a momentum break below 112.75, it will target 112.25. Only below 112.25, 111.40 is possible but it will hardly happen today as we are in a holiday trading mode. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis On 10 Year US Notes And USDJPY

Gregor Horvat

10 year US notes shows a five wave of decline from July high which is a clear bearish pattern that should send prices even lower after any corrective set-back. The latest price structure, from the last 48 hours suggests, that market has room for a deeper pullback to make a nice A-B-C bounce; a zigzag pattern that can stop this week somewhere around 133’00 area. We will expect a strong drop from that region, as long as July high remains in place. more…

GBP/JPY The Dragon Is Flying High

Nenad Kerkez

The GBP/JPY aka “the Dragon” has a strong correlation with equities. Last night Japan, HK and Australian markets went up due to commodities prices up, abenomics in Japan, and follow through risk-on due to US Equities performing strongly overnight. Nikkei was probably the best performer as it has been up 1200pts in 3 days. more…

Markets React To Shock Brexit Outcome

Fawad Razaqzada

As it became clear that the outcome of the UK referendum was going to be an exit from the EU, the pound literally got pounded as it dropped from an overnight high of 1.50 to sub 1.33 when the news was confirmed, while the FTSE tanked nearly 10% at the open. Most people were undoubtedly wrong-footed given how confident some betting companies were in pricing in the odds for remain. Naturally, the markets have rebounded sharply off their lows as you would expect. Profit-taking and dip buyers have, for now, provided some relief. Traders who have not yet expressed their views are starting to come back into the markets as key levels are re-tested, so volumes and volatility should remain high for a while yet. Given what has happened, most speculators are likely to step in and fade the rallies rather than buy the dips. more…

EUR/JPY Consolidating Within Bullish Pennant

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/JPY has been consolidating in the bullish pennant for last couple of days. This consolidation is showing a battle between bulls and bears for the next breakout. For trading purpose we have 2 possible scenarios. Twofold scenario is possible due to general downtrend and bullish pennant at L3 support. As the price is generally bearish, we might see a drop from POC zone 117.97-118.20 (H3, DPP, 61.8,EMA89,the top of the pennant) towards 117.50, 117.00 and 116.45. However if we see an upward breakout above 118.25 the price could reach 118.64 and 119.05-20 zone. Watch the correlation table and equities. SP500 will move in correlation with EUR/JPY during NY session. more…