Tag Archives: Nenad Kerkez

USD/CAD Rectangle Consolidation Above Ascending Trend Line

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has been consolidating within the rectangle range above M L3 pivot point. Consolidation is also between the W L3 and H3 above the ascending trend line, so I assume the price is still bullish. 1.2760-1.2787 is the POC zone and we might expect a bullish bounce once the price retests the zone. However, if the candle breaks and closes above W H3 -1.2932 we should see a continuation to the upside targeting 1.2980 and 1.3060. more…

EUR/USD Regular Bullish Divergence In 4h Timeframe

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD has reached W L4 support and we can see that the price has established a bullish divergence. If the 4h candle doesn’t close below the W L4 – 1.1834 we might see a bounce to the upside possibly targeting W H3-1.2022 and W H4 – 1.2085. However 1.2050-85 is the zone for short sellers. If the price rejects from the zone, targets should be 1.2022, 1.1964 and 1.1897 that would complete a W L3 retest. more…

Gold Trend Line Break Expected On A Positive Momentum

Nenad Kerkez

Gold is rejecting POC zone, and soon we might see a trend line break (blue dotted line) that could be a sign of a trend continuation. 1335-40 is the POC zone, and the trend line break is expected if the price closes above 1348. The first target is 1354.47 and continuation above should target 1365.15. A 4h close above 1365.16 should make a breakout move towards M H5 / W H5 1380-84. As long as the price is supported above M L1 around 1319, bulls should be safe. more…

EUR/GBP Indecision Between Trend Line Diagonals

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/GBP has been trapped within the narrow range of W L3 and W H3 Pivot. Slow price action indicates that we might expect a breakout when volatility gets higher. At this point, the price is stalling between the two trend line diagonals that also intersect essential pivot points. Break of W H3 – 0.8737 should target 0.8760 and possibly 0.8792. However a break of D L3 – 0.8710 should target 0.8680. The EUR/GBP ATR is low, so pay attention to breakouts and corresponding targets. more…

GBP/JPY Possible Inverted Dead Cat Bounce On A Trend Line Break

Nenad Kerkez

After a typical Monday price action that was triggered by the Yen weakness the GBP/JPY continued to rise but it failed to reach W H5. A sudden drop in price and a close below EMA89 and W H4, with an interim consolidation suggests that this could be an inverted dead cat bounce pattern. POC rejections could happen within 149.25-55 zone. If the price closes below the trend line we could see a move towards 148.68 and 148.25 so the pattern will be validated. Target is 148.25. However, if the price spikes above 149.97 we might see 150.67 and the pattern will become invalid. more…

USD/CAD Bullish SHS Pattern For A Bounce Towards 1.3000 And Above

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed inverted head and shoulder bullish pattern. The right shoulder has been formed, however the price could still retrace down before a possible bounce. At this point the price might go straight up (from 1.2943) or retrace exactly to POC then bounce. 1.2895-1.2915 is the POC zone so pay attention to it. Targets are 1.2990 – confluence of W H5 and M H3 camarilla pivots. This is a strong resistance zone and the pair needs a 4h close above 1.3000 to proceed further up. In that case, it could even target M H4 in upcoming days. As long as the pair is holding above 1.2800 it is bullish. more…

DAX30 Waiting For The Breakout Move

Nenad Kerkez

As the US data slipped overnight, showing signs of weakening the economy in the US, the data from China is also showing a slowing Manufacturing sector, yet from Europe, the data has been okay this week. US Equities pulled back later in the session yesterday, causing the Dax to follow ever slightly, trade with caution as we may see a breakout move in the Dax30 in hours to come.
The price is very close to POC zone 12387-12407, and the move above the blue trend line could spike the price up to D H3 12490 and D H4 camarilla pivot – 12541. Only a 4h close above D H4 might mike a continuation move towards 12626. However, below 12385 the price might drop to D L4 – 12336 and 12262. Watch for these levels. more…

SP500 Adam And Adam Double Bottom Pattern In Progress

Nenad Kerkez

The SP500 has formed Adam and Adam double bottom pattern. Adam pattern is very similar to a W shaped reversal pattern except for the two related bullish spikes that distinguish the pattern from the W bullish. Point 1 and Point 3 form the basis while point 2 is a continuation point. The POC is formed within 2688-2700 zone and the price could spike from the zone towards 2727 (point 2). A 4h close above 2727 should target 2772 followed by 2808 on a further bullish momentum. Only below W L4 – 2662 the price might turn neutral again. more…

GBP/USD Congestion Zone 1.3866-1.3916

Nenad Kerkez

The GBP/USD has been consolidating within the 1.3866-1.3916 zone and we can see a clear congestion without any clear breakout to the upside. UK January CPI remained at 3.0% contrary to the 2.9 % forecast. Technically the price has been supported at 1.3866-76 and while the price bias remains bullish, the pair needs to make a strong 1h candle above 1.3920 in order to proceed further up. Clear break or 4h close above 1.3920 should target 1.3942, 1.3983 eventually reaching 1.4035 W H4 level. However a break below 1.3840 might go for a retest of 1.3799. more…

USD/CAD Might Make A U-Turn If 1.2560 Holds

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has been in a retracement mode but without an additional momentum to break recent highs. The pair is making a lower high now and if 1.2560 holds we might see a u-turn on the price. Targets are W H3 and W L3 levels – 1.2468 and 1.2376, but in the case you are trading intraday pay attention to W H1 – W L1 levels 1.2437 and 1.2405 respectively. A spike above 1.2560 could turn the price bullish again targeting 1.2606 and 1.2653. more…