Tag Archives: NZD

GBP/NZD Close To The Top Of The Equidistant Channel

Nenad Kerkez

The GBP/NZD has formed a bearish equidistant channel, but recent news gave the push in bullish momentum and the price might reverse. The zone to watch is 0.7560-80 (Channel top, ATR high, EMA89, D H4). Traders should watch for any reversal or continuation patterns within the POC zones. A bullish continuation pattern within the zone might push the price further towards the D H5 at 0.7653 while a bearish reversal pattern could drop the price towards D H3 and L3 – 0.7490 and 0.7370. The GBP/NZD is a very volatile pair and because the price is already at its extremes we might see a short term rejection from the POC soon and that could provide some short term trading opportunities. more…

NZDUSD Elliott Wave View: Downside Resumes

Daud Bhatti

Revised Elliott Wave view in NZDUSD suggests the decline from 3/21 high (0.709) is unfolding as a triple three Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 0.6905, Minute wave ((x)) ended at 0.7053, Minute wave ((y)) ended at 0.6844 and Minute second wave ((x)) is proposed complete at 0.6968. Minute wave ((z)) is in progress and unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (w) ended at 0.6835 , and Minutte wave (x) is in progress to correct cycle from 5/2 high before pair resumes lower again. We don’t like buying the pair and expect bounces in Minutte wave (x) to find sellers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more downside provided that pivot at 0.6968 high remains intact. more…

NZD/USD Equidistant Channel In A Strong Downtrend

Nenad Kerkez

The NZD/USD has been dropping consistently within the Equidistant channel versus its counterpart USD mainly due to expectations the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand keeps its rate low. Additionally, the dairy prices fell in the overnight auction, adding to overall NZD weakness. The POC zone is 0.6935-50 (H4, DPP, equidistant channel top, ATR top) and we might expect new rejection if the price gets within the zone. 1h momentum or 4h close below 0.6890 marks the continuation towards 0.6858 and 0.6840. The ATR has been low but consistent so the NZD could be also suitable for traders who are afraid to trade volatile pairs. more…

AUD/NZD For Feb 01 AUD/NZD Bounces Off Support

Nenad Kerkez

The AUD/NZD bounced off support as expected, driven by worse than expected Unemployment Rate (5.2 % vs 4.8 %) while AUD Commodity Prices showed an increase by 10.9%. Technically POC comes within 1.0355-1.0370 (DPP, L3, 61.8, ABCD hist). The up move is supported by historical ABCD pattern at L3 support so on the next retest of POC zone we might see another bounce towards 1.0430 region. If we don’t see a retracement to POC then a strong h1 momentum or 4h close above 1.0435 might push the price to 1.0470. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis On NZDUSD And GOLD

Gregor Horvat

NZDUSD has completed five waves lower from the red wave C) label around the 0.7402 mark and is currently in a bullish retracement process namely close to completing red wave A. Later, we expect three sub-waves to unfold within wave B) and a final push higher within final wave C) of this three waves. The whole correction will then find a probable region of resistance and a turning point lower around the 0.7176 area, from where bears may take over. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis On AUDNZD And EURGBP

Gregor Horvat

For those who cannot stay aside during the elections I recommend to look for non USD pairs, as they can be less volatile. Below I am looking at AUDNZD that I would be looking to trade, but after the elections results. Chart shows a clear pattern; five waves up from 1.0235, followed by a contra-trend reaction that can either be finished at recent low, or maybe support will be found near the 1.0350-1.0400 area by the end of the week. The price action is bullish and it suggests more gains while market is above the 1.0235 mark. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis On EURGBP And NZDUSD

Gregor Horvat

EURGBP: Intraday structure has changed a little in the last few hours, but nothing important for now. What really matter is that price move from recent high is slow and choppy; a clear personality of a contra-trend price move that suggests more upside in sessions ahead since we see wave four here on one our chart. Ideally fifth wave will lift price up to around 0.8700 or maybe 0.8800 by the end of the week. more…