Tag Archives: USD

GBP/USD Hits New Post-Brexit High As Dollar Extends Drop

Fawad Razaqzada

The big news today is that the dollar’s losses have sharply accelerated, but without any fresh news. The economic calendar is light and US stock markets will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Day. This hasn’t stopped the Dow futures from melting up another 140 points. It goes to show that in low-volume days like today, it is even harder to resist against a strong trend. The markets simply drift in the trend direction as resting stop orders above (in the case of stock indices) or below the market (in the case of the dollar), attract prices towards them. In dollar’s slipstream, the GBP/USD has hit a new post-Brexit high of more…

EURUSD Short Term Rally Opportunity

Peter Adamson

I was waiting for EURUSD to rally yesterday, and this morning I missed it! Silly me. But it is correcting now, so I think there may be a chance to get in.

Remember what Gann taught us about the safest point of entry: the first higher bottom. If you observe the hourly chart you will see that the trend has reversed to the upside. We now have a range from 1.1916 at 13:00 on 9 January to 1.2018 at 12:00 today. Notice the interval is very close to 24 hours. Naturally we will be looking for support at the fib levels between these two prices: more…

USD/JPY Triple Bottom Pattern Consolidation Breakout

Nenad Kerkez

As the BoJ commences a slow process of tapering, this in theory has pushed traders into buying JPY. We already saw it in my previous GBP/JPY analysis. In addition, this has the side-effect of selling risky assets, and we saw Equities pullback from recent highs in alignment with rising JPY demand. Whilst US data has been mixed, with Consumer Credit rising, but lower JOLTS jobs openings, all eyes will be on US CPI and Retail Sales data later on Friday. more…

EUR/USD Buying The Dip Continues During Holidays

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD has been bought on the dip that formed the right shoulder of the bullish SHS pattern also known as – Inverted Head and Shoulders. Holiday trading is always risky due to low liquidity, and lower liquidity might in turn, produce higher volatility. But at this point, the trading has been a bit quiet. The ATR for the last 14 days is only 62 pips, and the EUR/USD has made 29 by the time of writing this analysis. As long as the EUR/USD is kept above 1.1835 targets are 1.1890. 1.1905 and 1.1950. Have in mind the ATR projection high is 1.1917, so the pair needs to break above 1.1917 with a stronger momentum to reach the W H4 resistance. If it manages to touch and stay above 1.1906, 1.1950 could be achieved by the end of the week providing we don’t see any profit taking on long trades. more…

USDCHF Trading At The Start Of A Bullish Leg

Grega Horvat

On the daily chart of USDCHF we can see that price was trading quite choppy for the last two years and unfolded a bigger 3-3-5 EW Flat pattern. Well recently this flat found a low near the 0.9417 level for wave B and recovered nicely higher and eventually began a bigger rally after price breached above the trendline connected from December of last year. That said, this break now suggests a change in trend, from bearish to bullish and that a higher degree five-wave impulse may unfold within black wave C of Y). more…

Video Analysis: AUDJPY, NIKKEI, OIL, USDCAD

Grega Horvat

USDCAD was trading bearish through May 2017 and through September. We can see that a five-wave impulse had unfolded on the daily time frame and later found a low at the 1.2058 level. From there a new bullish movement followed, which we labeled it as wave A, first wave of a three-wave recovery which means more gains is expected to occur after current wave B is finished, which can look for a base around 1.2600 and also complete a bullish H&S pattern. more…

AUDUSD Looking For More Weakness

Grega Horvat

Around early of September of 2017, AUDUSD completed a higher degree complex correction within wave IV. This correction ended with a five-wave drop towards the 0.7650 level, which can in months ahead result as a bigger bearish cycle. Well, this fall gives us an idea of a change in trend from bullish to bearish and can be labeled as red wave 1), that can find potential support near the 0.7562 level and from there breach higher into corrective wave 2). more…

USD/CAD Is Waiting For Fundamental Data Release

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed a double top pattern exactly at D H3 pivot. At this point we see a retracement that shows another proof how strong camarilla pivot points are. From a fundamental point of view the market might be waiting for ADP data today as well as CAD Employment change and trade balance. We should see a bit of volatility during the NY/LO Session overlap. From a technical point we see the two POC zones. The first POC 1.2840-55 (order block, EMA89, D L4, 23.6) or the second POC zone 1..2800-15 (inner TL, D L5, 38.2, order block) might reject the price towards 1.2915, 1.2940 and 1.2982 on good ADP / bad CAD data. However if the price drops due to bad USD / good CAD data breakout below 1.2798 should target 1.2774, 1.2740 and 1.2726. Mixed data should keep the price action within the technical outlook. more…