Tag Archives: USD

Elliott Wave Analysis: GBPJPY and USDJPY

Grega Horvat

GBPJPY is making a five-wave bearish structure within blue wave c as part of a three-wave consolidation. We see current intra-day structure unfolding an overlapping movement, which can mean a potential ending diagonal within red wave v) of c can be in progress. If that is the case, then once current red wave v) fully unfolds a sharp and strong reversal to the upside can come in play. more…

DXY Elliott Wave View: Resuming Downside

Daud Bhatti

Revised short term DXY (USD Index) Elliott Wave view suggests the decline from 6/20 peak (97.87) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure. Down from 97.87 high, decline to 95.47 ended Minor wave W, and bounce to 96.51 high ended Minor wave X. Wave Y is unfolding as another double three Elliott wave structure of a smaller degree where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 94.47 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 95.17. The Index has broken below 94.47 suggesting Minute wave ((y)) lower has started. Down from 94.47, Minutte wave (w) ended at 94.09, and Minutte wave (x) is in progress to correct cycle from 7/20 peak before Index resumes lower. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear after Minutte wave (x) bounce is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 95.17 stays intact. more…

USD/JPY Descending Trendline Marks The Downtrend

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been dropping, making a descending zig-zag pattern which marks the downtrend. The POC zone 112.40-62 (D H4, Trend line, ATR pivot, EMA89) could reject the price towards 111.70 and if the 111.65 breaks to the downside 111.40 and 111.00 should be next. If we don’t see a retracement towards the POC, pay attention to 111.65 and possible breakout below. However if the price breaks above 112.70 we might see a retest of 113.00-113.15 zone.
more…

Ending Diagonal On GBPUSD Indicates A Strong Reversal; Bears May Take Over

Grega Horvat

On the 4h chart of GBPUSD we are observing final stages of an ending diagonal where final leg up can be now in progress. We are tracking wave C) after nice turn up from wave B) support levels, found near 1.2800. So far, that’s clearly an impulsive reaction up, a very strong one, so we should be aware of even higher levels at the start of the week. There is a chance that market will rise to second resistance area seen at 1.3200/1.3250. more…

USD/CAD Further Bearish Pressure Is Expected

Nenad Kerkez

Following reports from OPEC that supply shall exceed demand in the oncoming year or so, we have a consolidating Crude Oil price around USD44-45/bbl. BoC have increased their rate overnight following signs of inflation. Given this, the USD/CAD could be further sold on on rallies. My previous analysis showed a drop in the pair and I expect this to continue. At this point the pair is just above W H5, and above D L3. According to my CAMMACD method, we could see another drop below D L3. The drop could happen with or without retracement. If we see a retracement, pay attention to POC 1.2790-1.2810 (50.0, W L4, D H3, ATR pivot) where the price could reject. A move below 1.2675 suggests bearish continuation towards 1.2606 all the way down to 1.2485. more…

USD/CAD Follows The EMA89 Slope

Nenad Kerkez

If you had signed up for my Live Trading Webinar that is exclusive with Admiral Markets, you could’ve seen how the USD/CAD rejected perfectly from 2 POC zones where both market orders were triggered. The pair is still going down and in the case of any spike to the upside pay attention again to POC 1.2990-1.3005 (D H4, ATR pivot, EMA89) and eventually POC2 1.3035-50 (D H5, W H3, descending trend line, ATR high) where price could reject again. At this point the price is below W H3 and D H3, which signifies a strong downtrend. Continuation below yesterday’s low (1.2912) aims for 1.2895 and 1.2869. Below it is a void zone, where we could see hardly any support all the way down to 1.2780. more…

USD/JPY Zig-Zag Uptrend But Watch For D H4 Resistance

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been moving in a zig-zag pattern that indicates uptrend but at this point its close to ATR top/D H4 resistance. We can also see a bearish divergence so we might expect some pullback. The POC zone is 112.00-15 (38.2, D L4, EMA89, ATR pivot). If the price gets there we might see a bounce towards D H5 112.90. However if the price gets to ATR top/ D H5 we might see a rejection towards 112.20-00 again. So watch for both zones in terms of trading as the price might reject from both POC and D H5/ ATR top confluence. more…

AUDUSD Elliott Wave Analysis

Daud Bhatti

Revised short term AUDUSD Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 5/9 low is unfolding as a leading diagonal Elliott Wave structure. Up from 5/9 (0.7325) low, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 0.7517, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 0.7368, and Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 0.7566. Minute wave ((iv)) pullback is currently in progress to correct cycle from 6/1 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before pair resumes higher again. more…

AUD/USD Slow Zig-Zag Towards 0.7580

Nenad Kerkez

As we could see on yesterday’s Live Trading webinar, straight after our live trading session, the AUD/USD has rejected and made pips in the bearish direction. That was a counter trade opportunity we had, but today the AUD/USD might proceed with the trend. The POC zone is 0.7510-20 (D L4, ATR pivot, bullish order block, EMA89) and if we see a retracement, the pair might reject from the POC zone targeting H3 and H4 camarilla pivots. 1 hour candle close above 1.7568 might target 1.7586 and further 0.7617 on a stronger momentum push. Have in mind that the ATR (range) of the pair is small, only 57 pips so 0.7580 zone is looking more realistic should the bullish momentum prevail. more…