Tag Archives: USD

AUD/USD Bullish Wicks Mark New Wave Of Buyers

Nenad Kerkez

The AUD has been rebounding of late, with stronger Employment numbers for the month and a reduction in the Unemployment Rate to 5.7% as it approaches full employment. Interestingly, the MI Inflation target is 4% for the next 12 months, which may signal rate hikes in the near future. USD weakness continues, and the USD Index looks destined a bit lower, with lower manufacturing numbers, but with all other indicators relatively stable, the concerns lie with whether Trump can now deliver on his Tax cut promises for the next boost to the US economy. more…

Macron’S Triumph Removes Eurozone Political Risk

Daud Bhatti

Emmanuel Macron won the presidential election last Sunday, defeating Marine Le Pen, a far-right nationalist who wanted to take France out of the European Union. Markets had feared that Le Pen’s win could threaten the EU project, but Macron’s win has eliminated uncertainty regarding France’s membership of the Euro and removed the risk of near-term severe political shock to France and wider Europe. The Euro went above $1.10 briefly, but since then has pulled back. The upwards move was not dramatic than the first round of French elections as many traders have anticipated Macron’s victory and thus victory was already well priced in. more…

USD/CAD Contracting Triangle In Uptrend

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed a contracting triangle in the uptrend, signalling for a potential retracement. At this point traders should pay attention to two possible breakout points. A breakout to the upside could happen at the break of 1.3742 level (D H3 and Upper triangle trend line) while a breakout to the downside could happen if 1.3695 breaks (D L3 and Lower triangle trend line). The point where trend lines cross camarilla pivot point is called an X Cross. Target for the upside breakout is 1.3800 while the target for the downside breakout is 1.3635. more…

NZDUSD Elliott Wave View: Downside Resumes

Daud Bhatti

Revised Elliott Wave view in NZDUSD suggests the decline from 3/21 high (0.709) is unfolding as a triple three Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 0.6905, Minute wave ((x)) ended at 0.7053, Minute wave ((y)) ended at 0.6844 and Minute second wave ((x)) is proposed complete at 0.6968. Minute wave ((z)) is in progress and unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (w) ended at 0.6835 , and Minutte wave (x) is in progress to correct cycle from 5/2 high before pair resumes lower again. We don’t like buying the pair and expect bounces in Minutte wave (x) to find sellers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more downside provided that pivot at 0.6968 high remains intact. more…

GBPUSD Trading In A Big Correction

Gregor Horvat

GBPUSD is moving sideways after pair recovered from that 1.1500 spike low where we see a completed wave three, so current structure is an ongoing fourth wave which can see more upside as we think that market can be in an A-B-C structure. That said, wave B triangle looks completed and current rally may be wave C, which can see limited upside around 38.2. more…

USDCAD Elliott Wave View: Extending Higher

Short term Elliott Wave view in USDCAD suggest the decline to 1.322 ended Intermediate wave (X). The rally from there is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 1.3525 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 1.3406. Minute wave ((w)) is subdivided as a Flat Elliott wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended at 1.3338 and Minutte wave (b) ended at 1.3258. Pair is currently within Minute wave ((y)) which is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (w) ended at 1.3626 and Minutte wave (x) FLAT ended at 1.3526. more…

GBP/USD Stuck Between A Rock And A Hard Place

Fawad Razaqzada

On this day of last week, the pound had rallied by a cool 300 pips against the US dollar as investors welcomed news of a snap election in the UK, announced by UK Prime Minister Theresa May. Market participants apparently came to the conclusion that Theresa May will have a stronger mandate to secure the UK’s EU exit from the EU as she will be able to push back hard deadlines for a trade deal until the next election in 2022, assuming she wins this one. But after that sharp rally, the more…