Tag Archives: USD

AUDUSD Elliott Wave Analysis

Daud Bhatti

Revised short term AUDUSD Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 5/9 low is unfolding as a leading diagonal Elliott Wave structure. Up from 5/9 (0.7325) low, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 0.7517, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 0.7368, and Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 0.7566. Minute wave ((iv)) pullback is currently in progress to correct cycle from 6/1 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before pair resumes higher again. more…

AUD/USD Slow Zig-Zag Towards 0.7580

Nenad Kerkez

As we could see on yesterday’s Live Trading webinar, straight after our live trading session, the AUD/USD has rejected and made pips in the bearish direction. That was a counter trade opportunity we had, but today the AUD/USD might proceed with the trend. The POC zone is 0.7510-20 (D L4, ATR pivot, bullish order block, EMA89) and if we see a retracement, the pair might reject from the POC zone targeting H3 and H4 camarilla pivots. 1 hour candle close above 1.7568 might target 1.7586 and further 0.7617 on a stronger momentum push. Have in mind that the ATR (range) of the pair is small, only 57 pips so 0.7580 zone is looking more realistic should the bullish momentum prevail. more…

USD/JPY Bearish X-Cross Within 111.20 Zone

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been dropping lately, but it has been more of a slow grind than momentum surge. During this slow grind, the price has established a POC zone within 111.15-30 (D H4, 38.2, inner trend line, EMA89, ATR Pivot). X-Cross ™ represents the cross of a trendline with an important pivot point or fib level. In this example we have both fib level and a camarilla pivot, so my assumption is that the X cross is strong. Rejections should aim for 110.65. Break of 110.65 aims for 110.36 and 110.17. more…

AUD/USD Bullish Wicks Mark New Wave Of Buyers

Nenad Kerkez

The AUD has been rebounding of late, with stronger Employment numbers for the month and a reduction in the Unemployment Rate to 5.7% as it approaches full employment. Interestingly, the MI Inflation target is 4% for the next 12 months, which may signal rate hikes in the near future. USD weakness continues, and the USD Index looks destined a bit lower, with lower manufacturing numbers, but with all other indicators relatively stable, the concerns lie with whether Trump can now deliver on his Tax cut promises for the next boost to the US economy. more…

Macron’S Triumph Removes Eurozone Political Risk

Daud Bhatti

Emmanuel Macron won the presidential election last Sunday, defeating Marine Le Pen, a far-right nationalist who wanted to take France out of the European Union. Markets had feared that Le Pen’s win could threaten the EU project, but Macron’s win has eliminated uncertainty regarding France’s membership of the Euro and removed the risk of near-term severe political shock to France and wider Europe. The Euro went above $1.10 briefly, but since then has pulled back. The upwards move was not dramatic than the first round of French elections as many traders have anticipated Macron’s victory and thus victory was already well priced in. more…

USD/CAD Contracting Triangle In Uptrend

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/CAD has formed a contracting triangle in the uptrend, signalling for a potential retracement. At this point traders should pay attention to two possible breakout points. A breakout to the upside could happen at the break of 1.3742 level (D H3 and Upper triangle trend line) while a breakout to the downside could happen if 1.3695 breaks (D L3 and Lower triangle trend line). The point where trend lines cross camarilla pivot point is called an X Cross. Target for the upside breakout is 1.3800 while the target for the downside breakout is 1.3635. more…