Tag Archives: USD

AUDUSD Daily And 4h Look

Grega Horvat

AUDUSD is unfolding a bigger bullish leg to the upside, which can be labeled as a higher degree wave C. This wave C can be part of a bigger three-wave recovery, that is unfolding since November of 2015 (visible on the daily chart). However, we belive this big three-wave recovery may be ending, which means upside can be limited and a new change in trend can follow more…

EUR/USD Two Breakout Points Outside The Equidistant Channel

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD has perfectly rejected from both POCs after the setup and analysis shown on Weekly Recap and at this time it is very clear that the equidistant channel is trapping the price keeping the range bound market still in play. After a fake-out that happened yesterday 1.1720-1.1690 (which was still good to trade as a breakout trade, and what I showed during the Live Trading webinar) we can see two POC zones within the equidistant channel that might push or tank the price. If the price spikes above 1.1778 (EMA89, D H3, channel high) the target is 1.1798 and 1.1825. Above 1.1832 we should see a continuation towards more…

EURUSD Daily And 4 Hour Outlook

Grega Horvat

On the daily chart of EURUSD we can see a nice rising price activity since start of 2017, which can be labeled as a higher degree wave C) in the making. We know that wave C) is an impulse, which means it must consists out of five sub-waves. Well, here we already see three, which means once the upcoming wave 4 correction unfolds, a new push higher into final wave 5 of C) may start to develop. We also see Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 being touched, which can act as resistance for wave 3 and push prices lower into wave 4. more…

USDCAD: Correction Ended

Daud Bhatti

Short term USDCAD Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 1.2411 ended Intermediate wave (3) of an Elliott Wave impulse structure from 6/2 peak. Intermediate wave (4) bounce is in progress as a flat Elliott wave structure where Minor wave A ended at 1.2576 and Minor wave B ended at 1.2416. Minor wave C is subdivided as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 1.2416 low, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 1.253 and pullback to 1.2443 ended Minute wave ((ii)). Pair then rallied more…

Elliott Wave Analysis: EURUSD And NZDUSD

Grega Horvat

Good day traders! Today we’re gonna take a look at some intraday charts. The first one is EURUSD. The EURUSD is trading nicely higher today, probably in final stages of a higher degree bullish impulse. Ideally current rally since 28th of July is the final push of a black wave v of v), that will search for limited upside near the middle or upper channel line. From the mentioned region a new change in trend can come in play. more…

Elliott Wave Analysis: GBPJPY and USDJPY

Grega Horvat

GBPJPY is making a five-wave bearish structure within blue wave c as part of a three-wave consolidation. We see current intra-day structure unfolding an overlapping movement, which can mean a potential ending diagonal within red wave v) of c can be in progress. If that is the case, then once current red wave v) fully unfolds a sharp and strong reversal to the upside can come in play. more…

DXY Elliott Wave View: Resuming Downside

Daud Bhatti

Revised short term DXY (USD Index) Elliott Wave view suggests the decline from 6/20 peak (97.87) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure. Down from 97.87 high, decline to 95.47 ended Minor wave W, and bounce to 96.51 high ended Minor wave X. Wave Y is unfolding as another double three Elliott wave structure of a smaller degree where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 94.47 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 95.17. The Index has broken below 94.47 suggesting Minute wave ((y)) lower has started. Down from 94.47, Minutte wave (w) ended at 94.09, and Minutte wave (x) is in progress to correct cycle from 7/20 peak before Index resumes lower. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear after Minutte wave (x) bounce is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 95.17 stays intact. more…

USD/JPY Descending Trendline Marks The Downtrend

Nenad Kerkez

The USD/JPY has been dropping, making a descending zig-zag pattern which marks the downtrend. The POC zone 112.40-62 (D H4, Trend line, ATR pivot, EMA89) could reject the price towards 111.70 and if the 111.65 breaks to the downside 111.40 and 111.00 should be next. If we don’t see a retracement towards the POC, pay attention to 111.65 and possible breakout below. However if the price breaks above 112.70 we might see a retest of 113.00-113.15 zone.
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Ending Diagonal On GBPUSD Indicates A Strong Reversal; Bears May Take Over

Grega Horvat

On the 4h chart of GBPUSD we are observing final stages of an ending diagonal where final leg up can be now in progress. We are tracking wave C) after nice turn up from wave B) support levels, found near 1.2800. So far, that’s clearly an impulsive reaction up, a very strong one, so we should be aware of even higher levels at the start of the week. There is a chance that market will rise to second resistance area seen at 1.3200/1.3250. more…