Tag Archives: USD

Elliott Wave Analysis: German DAX, S&P500 And NZDUSD

Grega Horvat

Stocks and XXX/JPY pairs gaped nicely higher during the weekend, and it looks that more gains may follow soon on equity markets. We are looking at both; DAX and E-mini S&P500 which can be headed much higher this week as we see recent downward corrections completed. Dax is in impulse up, ideally within wave 3) headed up to 12500-12550, while S&P500 can be underway to new all-time highs as we called end of a wave b set-back already on Friday. more…

GBPUSD: More Upside

Daud Bhatti

GBPUSD Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally from 8/24 low is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 8/24 low (1.2773), Minor wave 1 ended at 1.2979 and Minor wave 2 ended at 1.2851. Minor wave 3 is in progress and the subdivision is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((i)) of 3 ended at 1.2947, Minute wave ((ii)) of 3 ended at 1.2907, Minute wave ((iii)) of 3 ended at 1.3082 and Minute wave ((iv)) of 3 ended at 1.303. Minute wave more…

USD/CAD Down After An Unexpected Rate Hike

Nenad Kerkez

As we have seen tightening in the US by the Fed over the past year, there usually is a correlation with other Western economies following the US lead in returning Monetary Policy to historical levels. In this case, the BoC had increased their rate for the second time in recent months largely following an improvement in GDP Growth, along with price stability in their major export Oil and Gas. Needless to say, BoC is somewhat hamstrung with its ability to continue hiking due to its high household debt levels along with real estate prices in Toronto having dropped 20% since April 2017. more…

USDJPY And German DAX

Grega Horvat

Good morning traders, and welcome to a new busy month which could be very interesting for the markets, that began with a new North Korea nuclear test that caused a gap lower on stocks.

Normally markets quickly recover after such events, so wondering if this time will be the same. Gaps as you know will normally be filled, so with that in mind, we think that upside on E-mini S&P500 is not done yet and that USDJPY can be in fact in final stages of a current wave c. more…

GBPUSD Weekly L3 And D H4 Confluence In Downtrend

Nenad Kerkez

The GBP/USD broke below 1.2020, the weekly L3 level, thus turning the support into a resistance. After a short breakout that I showed on live trading webinar yesterday, the pair started to retrace towards the POC zone 1.2830-50 (Order block, ATR high, trend line, D H5, EMA89). The price could reject there towards the 1.2880 and 1.2770. Only a break below 1.2768 could spur additional weakness in the pair towards 1.2740 zone. The market is calm at this point but the increased volatility is expected during the 2017 Economic Symposium, “Fostering a Dynamic Global Economy”, which will take place Aug. 24-26, 2017 at Jackson Hole, WY. more…

USDJPY Resuming Lower

Daud Bhatti

Short term USDJPY Elliott wave view suggest the decline from 7/11 peak is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure. Decline to 108.71 low ended Minor wave W and Minor wave X bounce ended at 110.95 peak. Subdivision of Minor wave Y is unfolding as a Zigzag structure. Minute wave ((w)) of ((Y) ended at 108.59 low and Minute wave ((x)) of (Y) bounce ended at 109.82. The pair has reacted lower from the blue box, but the move lower will get validation only with a break below 108.59. Until then a double correction in Minutte wave ((x)) still can happen. more…

Gold And BTCUSD

Grega Horvat

Gold is trading in a three-wave decline, away from 1300 region. We see first wave A) completed, followed by a slow and choppy movement which could be a triangle correction in the making within wave B). Ideally wave B) will unfold two more waves within itself and later make a new push lower, into the final wave C), that can search for a base near the Fibonacci ratios of 138.2/161.8. more…

AUDUSD Daily And 4h Look

Grega Horvat

AUDUSD is unfolding a bigger bullish leg to the upside, which can be labeled as a higher degree wave C. This wave C can be part of a bigger three-wave recovery, that is unfolding since November of 2015 (visible on the daily chart). However, we belive this big three-wave recovery may be ending, which means upside can be limited and a new change in trend can follow more…

EUR/USD Two Breakout Points Outside The Equidistant Channel

Nenad Kerkez

The EUR/USD has perfectly rejected from both POCs after the setup and analysis shown on Weekly Recap and at this time it is very clear that the equidistant channel is trapping the price keeping the range bound market still in play. After a fake-out that happened yesterday 1.1720-1.1690 (which was still good to trade as a breakout trade, and what I showed during the Live Trading webinar) we can see two POC zones within the equidistant channel that might push or tank the price. If the price spikes above 1.1778 (EMA89, D H3, channel high) the target is 1.1798 and 1.1825. Above 1.1832 we should see a continuation towards more…