Tag Archives: USD

USD/JPY: where to next?

Fawad Razaqzada

The appetite for risk has improved noticeably this week, as evidenced by a sharp rebound across the global equity markets. FX traders have likewise witnessed the unwinding of some safe haven trades with CHF and JPY both falling sharply following their recent gains. The US dollar has performed well given the fact that the weekly unemployment claims disappointed expectations and after the minutes from the FOMC’s last policy meeting contained very little in the way of new information other than what we already knew. However, as some FOMC members are concerned about the developments in China and Greece, more…

USDCAD Eyes New High Around 1.3400

Gregor Horvat

On USDCAD we see more upside to come in weeks and months ahead, towards 1.3400 area where pair could accomplish wave C of a big second zigzag that is part of a contra-trend move from 2007 lows. The reason for more upside is latest pullback since March 2015 which looks like a temporary pause within uptrend. Once market will break above the highs from 2008 traders should be aware of a significant trend change, from bullish to bearish mode. more…

Oxi!

Ville Vainio

Greeks voted no! without realising the implications of this result. There was not a big reaction on the currency market at the start of trading but the worst is probably still ahead. Market gapped about 100 pips in EUR/USD so nothing major was the result of Greece referendum. My preferred wave count sees this gap low as minuette wave 2. I am looking for bullish upwards move next for this pair and overall strength on Euro. Next upside target is 1.1118 and key levels after that are 1.117 and 1.124 respectively. If this start to decline more, 1.0954 (today’s low) is invalidation level for this wave count. more…

USDJPY: Shorting Opportunity

Nenad Kerkez

Monday retail sales in Japan expanded by 1.7% vs forecast of 1% increase. Yen also strengthened due to Greece uncertainty and safe heaven flows.

Technically the pair reached weekly L5 which marks strong support and pullback towards POC could give us an opportunity to short it again. POC comes at 123.20-30 zone ( L3, 61.8, previous swing ) and it should provide shorting opportunities towards 121.50, next level if L5 breaks. For the pair to remain bearish 124.05 should hold as we have 2 trend line cross , and previous swing high as a resistance. more…

AUDUSD: Wave (5 ) In Play For 0.7300-0.7100

Gregor Horvat

Back in April AUDUSD has turned bullish for some time, but most likely only temporary as rally from the low was having an overlapping structure. We know that this is a characteristics of a contra-trend price action, so trend remains bearish for now within impulse that is in play since mid-2014.We see market moving sharply lower now after broken upward channel, so wave (5) is in play for a move down to 0.7100-0.7300 area. more…

EURUSD Closes The Gap

Ville Vainio

150 pip drop which continued to just over 200 pips on its lowest. This was the result on market open to reflect the news about Greece not getting any more money from taxpayers around Europe. This gap has completely recovered by now and I have labelled this bottom as minute wave B. I am expecting this to start a bullish phase towards new long term highs. This minute wave C of minor wave Y is going to be 5 wave structure and the eventual target for this wave is 1.183. more…

GBPUSD Correcting Before Final Wave

Ville Vainio

GBPUSD is dropping lower and approaching the 23,6% fibonacci retracement level. I have forecasted this correction to bottom on this level but it can go lower. After this correction has found its bottom, I am looking for one more wave up before larger corrective decline.

June 19, 2015 @ 9:50 am – GBPUSD has come down a little. I see this as minuette wave 4 correction which has more to go on the downside. Perhaps 23,6% retracement level is enough for this to bottom and turn back up and continue the uptrend for the final 5th wave. more…